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Elecciones·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Elecciones·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Elijah Manley 46%

Dale Holness 17%

Maisha Williams 6.3%

Mark Douglas 5.3%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Elijah Manley 46%

Dale Holness 17%

Maisha Williams 6.3%

Mark Douglas 5.3%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Elijah Manley

$1,830 Vol.

35%

Dale Holness

$499 Vol.

37%

Maisha Williams

$284 Vol.

6%

Mark Douglas

$259 Vol.

5%

Luther Campbell

$249 Vol.

5%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$770 Vol.

2%

Rudy Moise

$480 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus reflects a tight Democratic primary in Florida's 20th Congressional District for the August 18 ballot, pitting former Broward County Mayor Dale Holness against progressive organizer Elijah Manley after incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid a federal indictment for misusing COVID relief funds. Early February polls showed Manley leading with 38% to Holness's 10%, buoyed by strong favorability and voter demands for her exit, but recent fundraising reports reveal Holness's superior cash on hand ($313,000 vs. Manley's $23,000 as of late March), bolstering his edge among established voters. The race remains neck-and-neck due to Manley's youth appeal and grassroots momentum in this Black-majority district, with separation possible via local endorsements, debates, or quarterly finance disclosures highlighting turnout drivers like housing affordability and Medicaid expansion.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$4,371
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus reflects a tight Democratic primary in Florida's 20th Congressional District for the August 18 ballot, pitting former Broward County Mayor Dale Holness against progressive organizer Elijah Manley after incumbent Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid a federal indictment for misusing COVID relief funds. Early February polls showed Manley leading with 38% to Holness's 10%, buoyed by strong favorability and voter demands for her exit, but recent fundraising reports reveal Holness's superior cash on hand ($313,000 vs. Manley's $23,000 as of late March), bolstering his edge among established voters. The race remains neck-and-neck due to Manley's youth appeal and grassroots momentum in this Black-majority district, with separation possible via local endorsements, debates, or quarterly finance disclosures highlighting turnout drivers like housing affordability and Medicaid expansion.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$4,371
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Dale Holness" con 37%, seguido de "Elijah Manley" con 35%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 22, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" es "Dale Holness" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Elijah Manley" con 35%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.