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First FTX bankruptcy payout?

Market icon

First FTX bankruptcy payout?

Q2 100.0%

2025 or later 100.0%

Q3 <1%

Q4 <1%

Polymarket

$2,038,146 Vol.

Q2 100.0%

2025 or later 100.0%

Q3 <1%

Q4 <1%

Polymarket

$2,038,146 Vol.

Market icon

Q1

$7,399 Vol.

No

Market icon

Q2

$115,453 Vol.

No

Market icon

Q3

$386,477 Vol.

No

Market icon

Q4

$576,292 Vol.

No

Market icon

2025 or later

$952,525 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q1 2024 (between January 1 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q2 2024 (between April 1 and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If customer reimbursements begin before the start of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; mere announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q3 2024 (between July 1 and September 30, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If customer reimbursements begin before the start of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; mere announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q4 2024 (between October 1 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If customer reimbursements begin before the start of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; mere announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX fails to begin customer reimbursements in 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If customer reimbursements begin before the start of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; mere announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q1 2024 (between January 1 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$2,038,146
Fecha de finalización
Dec 30, 2024
Mercado abierto
Jan 31, 2024, 11:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q1 2024 (between January 1 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q1 2024 (between January 1 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q2 2024 (between April 1 and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If customer reimbursements begin before the start of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; mere announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q3 2024 (between July 1 and September 30, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If customer reimbursements begin before the start of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; mere announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX begins customer reimbursements in Q4 2024 (between October 1 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If customer reimbursements begin before the start of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; mere announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if FTX fails to begin customer reimbursements in 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If customer reimbursements begin before the start of this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", customer reimbursements must actually begin; mere announcements that payouts will begin within this market's timeframe will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FTX and the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"First FTX bankruptcy payout?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "2025 or later" con 100%, seguido de "Q1" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "First FTX bankruptcy payout?" ha generado $2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 31, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "First FTX bankruptcy payout?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "First FTX bankruptcy payout?" es "2025 or later" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Q1" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "First FTX bankruptcy payout?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.