A federal jury's unanimous May 18, 2026, dismissal of Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI and Sam Altman on statute-of-limitations grounds has anchored trader consensus at a 98.2% probability of no $10 billion-plus settlement. The rapid verdict, reached in under two hours, eliminated all claims tied to OpenAI's shift from nonprofit artificial intelligence lab to for-profit entity, leaving no active litigation for resolution. Musk has signaled plans to appeal to the Ninth Circuit, yet such efforts confront steep procedural barriers and would not automatically revive settlement talks. No credible reports of renewed negotiations, regulatory intervention, or new filings have emerged in the ensuing weeks to alter market-implied odds, underscoring durable legal closure in this high-profile AI governance dispute.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$144,284 Vol.
$144,284 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$144,284 Vol.
$144,284 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal jury's unanimous May 18, 2026, dismissal of Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI and Sam Altman on statute-of-limitations grounds has anchored trader consensus at a 98.2% probability of no $10 billion-plus settlement. The rapid verdict, reached in under two hours, eliminated all claims tied to OpenAI's shift from nonprofit artificial intelligence lab to for-profit entity, leaving no active litigation for resolution. Musk has signaled plans to appeal to the Ninth Circuit, yet such efforts confront steep procedural barriers and would not automatically revive settlement talks. No credible reports of renewed negotiations, regulatory intervention, or new filings have emerged in the ensuing weeks to alter market-implied odds, underscoring durable legal closure in this high-profile AI governance dispute.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 27, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Volumen
$144,284Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal jury's unanimous May 18, 2026, dismissal of Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI and Sam Altman on statute-of-limitations grounds has anchored trader consensus at a 98.2% probability of no $10 billion-plus settlement. The rapid verdict, reached in under two hours, eliminated all claims tied to OpenAI's shift from nonprofit artificial intelligence lab to for-profit entity, leaving no active litigation for resolution. Musk has signaled plans to appeal to the Ninth Circuit, yet such efforts confront steep procedural barriers and would not automatically revive settlement talks. No credible reports of renewed negotiations, regulatory intervention, or new filings have emerged in the ensuing weeks to alter market-implied odds, underscoring durable legal closure in this high-profile AI governance dispute.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD in the initial trial of Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying amounts include monetary damages or payments awarded via jury verdict, court judgment, or settlement reached during or prior to the initial trial proceedings. Only cash or cash-equivalent compensation payable to Elon Musk (or entities controlled by him) will be counted. Non-monetary relief will not count.
If a mistrial is declared, or if the initial trial concludes without Elon Musk receiving at least $10,000,000,000 USD, this market will resolve to "No". Any retrial, appeal, or subsequent proceedings will not be considered for this market.
If Elon Musk is awarded or receives at least $10,000,000,000 USD during the initial trial proceedings, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$144,284Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A federal jury's unanimous May 18, 2026, dismissal of Elon Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI and Sam Altman on statute-of-limitations grounds has anchored trader consensus at a 98.2% probability of no $10 billion-plus settlement. The rapid verdict, reached in under two hours, eliminated all claims tied to OpenAI's shift from nonprofit artificial intelligence lab to for-profit entity, leaving no active litigation for resolution. Musk has signaled plans to appeal to the Ninth Circuit, yet such efforts confront steep procedural barriers and would not automatically revive settlement talks. No credible reports of renewed negotiations, regulatory intervention, or new filings have emerged in the ensuing weeks to alter market-implied odds, underscoring durable legal closure in this high-profile AI governance dispute.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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