Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<40 100.0%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,595,299 Vol.
$1,595,299 Vol.
11 may 2026
<40
Sí
40-64
No
65-89
No
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
<40 100.0%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,595,299 Vol.
$1,595,299 Vol.
11 may 2026
<40
$382,037 Vol.
Sí
40-64
$238,372 Vol.
No
65-89
$331,921 Vol.
No
90-114
$508,477 Vol.
No
115-139
$59,227 Vol.
No
140-164
$25,016 Vol.
No
165-189
$23,326 Vol.
No
190-214
$11,833 Vol.
No
215-239
$10,591 Vol.
No
240+
$4,499 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$1,595,299Fecha de finalización
11 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 9 12:00 PM ET to May 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$1,595,299Fecha de finalización
11 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Elon Musk posting fewer than 40 times from May 9-11, 2026, driven by his strikingly subdued X activity—averaging just 17 posts per day recently, with trackers logging only 18 from May 9-10 and seven through midday May 11 amid sparse engagement on cultural debates like Iliad adaptations and trigger warnings. This quiet streak, possibly tied to focus on SpaceX milestones or xAI developments, has crushed higher-volume odds as the window nears close, reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time monitoring. An upset would demand an unprecedented late-May-11 spree, sparked by breaking news such as a Tesla announcement or viral controversy, though historical patterns show such surges rare without catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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