Elon Musk’s X activity over the July 18-20 weekend sits in a tight contest between the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets, with market-implied odds at 43.5% and 39.5%. Traders weigh his baseline posting rhythm—shaped by Tesla and xAI updates, regulatory commentary, and real-time responses to news—against typical weekend moderation. Recent platform engagement trends and any late-breaking corporate or political developments could nudge volume upward, while lighter news cycles or shifts to other channels might keep totals low. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty around timing and external triggers that historically swing his output in short windows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<40 100.0%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$616,424 Vol.
$616,424 Vol.
20 jul 2026
<40
Sí
40-64
No
65-89
No
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
<40 100.0%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$616,424 Vol.
$616,424 Vol.
20 jul 2026
<40
$183,273 Vol.
Sí
40-64
$132,266 Vol.
No
65-89
$134,839 Vol.
No
90-114
$97,316 Vol.
No
115-139
$34,192 Vol.
No
140-164
$8,407 Vol.
No
165-189
$10,602 Vol.
No
190-214
$4,933 Vol.
No
215-239
$6,268 Vol.
No
240+
$4,328 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 18 12:00 PM ET to July 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s X activity over the July 18-20 weekend sits in a tight contest between the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets, with market-implied odds at 43.5% and 39.5%. Traders weigh his baseline posting rhythm—shaped by Tesla and xAI updates, regulatory commentary, and real-time responses to news—against typical weekend moderation. Recent platform engagement trends and any late-breaking corporate or political developments could nudge volume upward, while lighter news cycles or shifts to other channels might keep totals low. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty around timing and external triggers that historically swing his output in short windows.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 18 12:00 PM ET to July 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Jul 16, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volumen
$616,424Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 16, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 18 12:00 PM ET to July 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s X activity over the July 18-20 weekend sits in a tight contest between the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets, with market-implied odds at 43.5% and 39.5%. Traders weigh his baseline posting rhythm—shaped by Tesla and xAI updates, regulatory commentary, and real-time responses to news—against typical weekend moderation. Recent platform engagement trends and any late-breaking corporate or political developments could nudge volume upward, while lighter news cycles or shifts to other channels might keep totals low. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty around timing and external triggers that historically swing his output in short windows.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 18 12:00 PM ET to July 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$616,424Fecha de finalización
20 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 16, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
Elon Musk’s X activity over the July 18-20 weekend sits in a tight contest between the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets, with market-implied odds at 43.5% and 39.5%. Traders weigh his baseline posting rhythm—shaped by Tesla and xAI updates, regulatory commentary, and real-time responses to news—against typical weekend moderation. Recent platform engagement trends and any late-breaking corporate or political developments could nudge volume upward, while lighter news cycles or shifts to other channels might keep totals low. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty around timing and external triggers that historically swing his output in short windows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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