Elon Musk's prolific posting pace on X, often exceeding 30 posts daily amid ongoing commentary on AI, health tech, and political topics, underpins the overwhelming market consensus around 90-114 tweets for August 17-19. Fresh activity on the 19th alone, including multiple replies and statements on mRNA research, legal cases, and international competition, aligns with his established pattern of high engagement during news cycles. Traders view this range as a near-lock given historical monthly volumes and recent daily trends. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown from travel, technical restrictions, or unusually quiet periods, though such deviations remain rare for the platform's owner.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado90-114 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$1,106,932 Vol.
$1,106,932 Vol.
19 ago 2026
<40
No
40-64
No
65-89
No
90-114
Sí
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
90-114 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$1,106,932 Vol.
$1,106,932 Vol.
19 ago 2026
<40
$134,023 Vol.
No
40-64
$119,676 Vol.
No
65-89
$314,275 Vol.
No
90-114
$362,479 Vol.
Sí
115-139
$150,901 Vol.
No
140-164
$12,515 Vol.
No
165-189
$6,008 Vol.
No
190-214
$2,375 Vol.
No
215-239
$2,805 Vol.
No
240+
$1,875 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's prolific posting pace on X, often exceeding 30 posts daily amid ongoing commentary on AI, health tech, and political topics, underpins the overwhelming market consensus around 90-114 tweets for August 17-19. Fresh activity on the 19th alone, including multiple replies and statements on mRNA research, legal cases, and international competition, aligns with his established pattern of high engagement during news cycles. Traders view this range as a near-lock given historical monthly volumes and recent daily trends. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown from travel, technical restrictions, or unusually quiet periods, though such deviations remain rare for the platform's owner.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volumen
$1,106,932Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's prolific posting pace on X, often exceeding 30 posts daily amid ongoing commentary on AI, health tech, and political topics, underpins the overwhelming market consensus around 90-114 tweets for August 17-19. Fresh activity on the 19th alone, including multiple replies and statements on mRNA research, legal cases, and international competition, aligns with his established pattern of high engagement during news cycles. Traders view this range as a near-lock given historical monthly volumes and recent daily trends. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown from travel, technical restrictions, or unusually quiet periods, though such deviations remain rare for the platform's owner.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$1,106,932Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Elon Musk's prolific posting pace on X, often exceeding 30 posts daily amid ongoing commentary on AI, health tech, and political topics, underpins the overwhelming market consensus around 90-114 tweets for August 17-19. Fresh activity on the 19th alone, including multiple replies and statements on mRNA research, legal cases, and international competition, aligns with his established pattern of high engagement during news cycles. Traders view this range as a near-lock given historical monthly volumes and recent daily trends. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown from travel, technical restrictions, or unusually quiet periods, though such deviations remain rare for the platform's owner.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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