Palmeiras and Grêmio advanced to the Copa do Brasil 2026 final after semifinal results on November 7-8, with the single-match decider set for December 6 at neutral Mané Garrincha in Brasília. Palmeiras eliminated Vasco da Gama on penalties following a 2-2 aggregate, while Grêmio progressed past Atlético-MG 3-1 on aggregate. Trader consensus prices Palmeiras at 64% implied probability, reflecting the São Paulo side’s superior squad depth, recent domestic form, and multiple prior cup triumphs under Abel Ferreira. Grêmio sits at 36%, supported by its strong knockout pedigree and home advantage in earlier rounds, though its league relegation battle adds uncertainty. Eliminated sides like Vasco trade near zero as the bracket is now locked to these two contenders.