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Política·Canadá

Conservatives win majority in Ontario election?

icon for Conservatives win majority in Ontario election?
Política·Canadá

Conservatives win majority in Ontario election?

>99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$39,033 Vol.

>99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$39,033 Vol.

The 2025 Ontario parliamentary elections are scheduled to take place on February 27, 2025 to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario wins a majority of seats (63 or more) in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario as a result of the next Ontario parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ontario government (e.g. via https://results.elections.on.ca/en/results-overview).

The 2025 Ontario parliamentary elections are scheduled to take place on February 27, 2025 to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario wins a majority of seats (63 or more) in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario as a result of the next Ontario parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ontario government (e.g. via https://results.elections.on.ca/en/results-overview).
Volumen
$39,033
Fecha de finalización
27 feb 2025
Mercado abierto
Feb 7, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
The 2025 Ontario parliamentary elections are scheduled to take place on February 27, 2025 to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario wins a majority of seats (63 or more) in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario as a result of the next Ontario parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ontario government (e.g. via https://results.elections.on.ca/en/results-overview).

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

The 2025 Ontario parliamentary elections are scheduled to take place on February 27, 2025 to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario wins a majority of seats (63 or more) in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario as a result of the next Ontario parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ontario government (e.g. via https://results.elections.on.ca/en/results-overview).

The 2025 Ontario parliamentary elections are scheduled to take place on February 27, 2025 to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario wins a majority of seats (63 or more) in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario as a result of the next Ontario parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ontario government (e.g. via https://results.elections.on.ca/en/results-overview).
Volumen
$39,033
Fecha de finalización
27 feb 2025
Mercado abierto
Feb 7, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
The 2025 Ontario parliamentary elections are scheduled to take place on February 27, 2025 to elect the 44th Parliament of Ontario. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario wins a majority of seats (63 or more) in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario as a result of the next Ontario parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ontario government (e.g. via https://results.elections.on.ca/en/results-overview).

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Conservatives win majority in Ontario election?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 100% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 100¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Conservatives win majority in Ontario election?" ha generado $39K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 7, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Conservatives win majority in Ontario election?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Conservatives win majority in Ontario election?" es 100% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Conservatives win majority in Ontario election?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.