Trader consensus heavily favors state Rep. Manny Rutinel at 81% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by a fresh poll confirming a two-way race with former Rep. Shannon Bird (18.5%), his fundraising dominance, and first TV ad buy last week attacking Bird's ICE enforcement record. Rutinel's momentum builds on March Democratic assembly results where he secured over 83% preference votes for ballot access, recent endorsements from SEIU Colorado and CHC BOLD PAC, and April qualifications solidifying the field. Former Rep. Yadira Caraveo's September 2025 dropout caps her support at 1.2%, while others trail amid low visibility in this battleground contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoManny Rutinel 81%
Shannon Bird 19%
Yadira Caraveo 1.2%
Dave Young <1%
$20,154 Vol.
$20,154 Vol.
Manny Rutinel
81%
Shannon Bird
19%
Yadira Caraveo
1%
Dave Young
1%
John Szemler
<1%
Amie Baca-Oehlert
<1%
Manny Rutinel 81%
Shannon Bird 19%
Yadira Caraveo 1.2%
Dave Young <1%
$20,154 Vol.
$20,154 Vol.
Manny Rutinel
81%
Shannon Bird
19%
Yadira Caraveo
1%
Dave Young
1%
John Szemler
<1%
Amie Baca-Oehlert
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors state Rep. Manny Rutinel at 81% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by a fresh poll confirming a two-way race with former Rep. Shannon Bird (18.5%), his fundraising dominance, and first TV ad buy last week attacking Bird's ICE enforcement record. Rutinel's momentum builds on March Democratic assembly results where he secured over 83% preference votes for ballot access, recent endorsements from SEIU Colorado and CHC BOLD PAC, and April qualifications solidifying the field. Former Rep. Yadira Caraveo's September 2025 dropout caps her support at 1.2%, while others trail amid low visibility in this battleground contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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