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icon for Claude 4 released in May?
Tech·IA

Claude 4 released in May?

icon for Claude 4 released in May?
Tech·IA

Claude 4 released in May?

>99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$46,289 Vol.

>99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$46,289 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 4 model is made available to the general public by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. Claude 4 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 4 (e.g. Claude 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 3, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 4 model is made available to the general public by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.

Claude 4 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 4 (e.g. Claude 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 3, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$46,289
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2025
Mercado abierto
May 20, 2025, 7:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 4 model is made available to the general public by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. Claude 4 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 4 (e.g. Claude 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 3, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 4 model is made available to the general public by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. Claude 4 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 4 (e.g. Claude 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 3, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 4 model is made available to the general public by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.

Claude 4 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 4 (e.g. Claude 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 3, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$46,289
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2025
Mercado abierto
May 20, 2025, 7:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 4 model is made available to the general public by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. Claude 4 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 4 (e.g. Claude 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 3, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Claude 4 released in May?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 100% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 100¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Claude 4 released in May?" ha generado $46.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 20, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Claude 4 released in May?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Claude 4 released in May?" es 100% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Claude 4 released in May?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.