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icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 27%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 25%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 20%

PAPER TIGER de James GRAY 8.0%

Polymarket

$268,134 Vol.

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 27%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 25%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke 20%

PAPER TIGER de James GRAY 8.0%

Polymarket

$268,134 Vol.

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI

$2,127 Vol.

27%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV

$3,104 Vol.

25%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke

$1,815 Vol.

20%

PAPER TIGER de James GRAY

$1,838 Vol.

8%

NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE

$1,475 Vol.

6%

FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU

$1,766 Vol.

6%

THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS

$1,416 Vol.

3%

MOULIN by László NEMES

$62,158 Vol.

2%

PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI

$52,083 Vol.

2%

HOPE by NA Hong-jin

$4,324 Vol.

2%

EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)

$975 Vol.

2%

COWARD by Lukas DHONT

$55,922 Vol.

1%

LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI

$10,713 Vol.

1%

AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR

$871 Vol.

<1%

THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS

$4,900 Vol.

<1%

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH

$642 Vol.

<1%

GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER

$56,077 Vol.

<1%

NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji

$589 Vol.

<1%

ANOTHER DAY by Jeanne HERRY

$572 Vol.

<1%

THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI

$1,060 Vol.

<1%

A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET

$714 Vol.

<1%

SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu

$2,992 Vol.

<1%

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the market showing a tight contest for the Palme d'Or, trader consensus reflects the strong pedigrees of Pawel Pawlikowski's FATHERLAND and Andrey Zvyagintsev's MINOTAUR as leading contenders. Both directors bring proven festival momentum—Pawlikowski from prior critical favorites and Zvyagintsev from his history of stark social dramas—while Ryusuke Hamaguchi's ALL OF A SUDDEN sits just behind on the strength of his recent auteur status. The narrow spread underscores how jury reactions to premiere screenings, thematic resonance, and historical voting patterns for established international filmmakers could determine the winner in the closing days of the event.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$268,134
Fecha de finalización
23 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the market showing a tight contest for the Palme d'Or, trader consensus reflects the strong pedigrees of Pawel Pawlikowski's FATHERLAND and Andrey Zvyagintsev's MINOTAUR as leading contenders. Both directors bring proven festival momentum—Pawlikowski from prior critical favorites and Zvyagintsev from his history of stark social dramas—while Ryusuke Hamaguchi's ALL OF A SUDDEN sits just behind on the strength of his recent auteur status. The narrow spread underscores how jury reactions to premiere screenings, thematic resonance, and historical voting patterns for established international filmmakers could determine the winner in the closing days of the event.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$268,134
Fecha de finalización
23 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 22 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" con 27%, seguido de "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" ha generado $268.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 16, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner", explora los 22 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" es "FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.