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Elecciones·Casa Principal

CA-06 Primary Winners

icon for CA-06 Primary Winners
Elecciones·Casa Principal

CA-06 Primary Winners

$7,284 Vol.

2 jun 2026
Polymarket

$7,284 Vol.

Polymarket

Lauren Babb Tomlinson

$1,014 Vol.

No

Michael Stansfield

$1,695 Vol.

No

Thien Ho

$1,506 Vol.

No

Kevin Kiley

$899 Vol.

Yes

Martha Guerrero

$614 Vol.

No

Richard Pan

$612 Vol.

Yes

Tyler Vandenberg

$945 Vol.

No

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Kevin Kiley, running as an independent after switching from the Republican Party, and Democrat Richard Pan advanced from California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary in the newly redrawn 6th Congressional District. Redistricting shifted the Sacramento-area seat, prompting former incumbent Ami Bera to run elsewhere and drawing multiple Democratic challengers including Thien Ho, Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Martha Guerrero. Vote splitting among Democrats combined with Kiley's name recognition allowed the two to secure the highest shares despite a fragmented field. Trader consensus on these outcomes reflects the primary results and California's nonpartisan primary rules, with the general election now set for November. No further primary developments remain.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$7,284
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Kevin Kiley, running as an independent after switching from the Republican Party, and Democrat Richard Pan advanced from California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary in the newly redrawn 6th Congressional District. Redistricting shifted the Sacramento-area seat, prompting former incumbent Ami Bera to run elsewhere and drawing multiple Democratic challengers including Thien Ho, Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Martha Guerrero. Vote splitting among Democrats combined with Kiley's name recognition allowed the two to secure the highest shares despite a fragmented field. Trader consensus on these outcomes reflects the primary results and California's nonpartisan primary rules, with the general election now set for November. No further primary developments remain.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$7,284
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"CA-06 Primary Winners" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Kevin Kiley" con 100%, seguido de "Richard Pan" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"CA-06 Primary Winners" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 22, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "CA-06 Primary Winners", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "CA-06 Primary Winners" es "Kevin Kiley" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Richard Pan" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "CA-06 Primary Winners" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.