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CA-06 Primary Winners

icon for CA-06 Primary Winners

CA-06 Primary Winners

$5,724 Vol.

2 jun 2026
Polymarket

$5,724 Vol.

Polymarket

Kevin Kiley

$622 Vol.

98%

Richard Pan

$265 Vol.

88%

Michael Stansfield

$1,253 Vol.

15%

Tyler Vandenberg

$682 Vol.

3%

Lauren Babb Tomlinson

$1,014 Vol.

3%

Martha Guerrero

$574 Vol.

3%

Thien Ho

$1,314 Vol.

46%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's newly redrawn 6th Congressional District, altered by Proposition 50 redistricting to favor Democrats overall while retaining some suburban Republican-leaning pockets around Sacramento, Rocklin, and Roseville, features an open top-two primary on June 2, 2026. Incumbent Kevin Kiley, who switched from Republican to no party preference after leaving his prior seat, competes against a crowded Democratic field including former state Senator Richard Pan, Sacramento County District Attorney Thien Ho, Planned Parenthood executive Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Mayor Martha Guerrero, plus one additional Republican. Early vote tallies show Kiley leading, with the second spot contested among Democrats; the top two advance to the November general election.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$5,724
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's newly redrawn 6th Congressional District, altered by Proposition 50 redistricting to favor Democrats overall while retaining some suburban Republican-leaning pockets around Sacramento, Rocklin, and Roseville, features an open top-two primary on June 2, 2026. Incumbent Kevin Kiley, who switched from Republican to no party preference after leaving his prior seat, competes against a crowded Democratic field including former state Senator Richard Pan, Sacramento County District Attorney Thien Ho, Planned Parenthood executive Lauren Babb Tomlinson, and Mayor Martha Guerrero, plus one additional Republican. Early vote tallies show Kiley leading, with the second spot contested among Democrats; the top two advance to the November general election.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$5,724
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 6th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"CA-06 Primary Winners" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Kevin Kiley" con 98%, seguido de "Richard Pan" con 88%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"CA-06 Primary Winners" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 22, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "CA-06 Primary Winners", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "CA-06 Primary Winners" es "Kevin Kiley" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Richard Pan" con 88%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "CA-06 Primary Winners" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.