Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Tocantins
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Tocantins

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Tocantins
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Tocantins

Lula 68%

Flavio Bolsonaro 33%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Escritor Augusto Cury <1%

Polymarket

$22,495 Vol.

Lula 68%

Flavio Bolsonaro 33%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Escritor Augusto Cury <1%

Polymarket

$22,495 Vol.

icon for Lula

Lula

$5,762 Vol.

68%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$10,607 Vol.

33%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$542 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$575 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$342 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$1,256 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$406 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$438 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$558 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinario Wilson Grassi

Veterinario Wilson Grassi

$527 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest position among traders to finish first in Tocantins in the October 4 first round, reflecting recent state polls that place him narrowly ahead or tied with Flávio Bolsonaro. A late-August Quaest survey showed Lula at 37% to Flávio’s 32%, while Real Time Big Data found both at 36%, with Ronaldo Caiado at 6-7% and all other listed candidates in low single digits or below. Tocantins’ electorate, which gave Lula a narrow 2022 win, continues to show polarized support between the PT incumbent and the PL senator backed by the Bolsonaro family network. Lower polling for alternatives such as Romeu Zema, Pablo Marçal, and Renan Santos reinforces the two-candidate dynamic in the state, sustaining Lula’s edge in implied probability despite the overall national race remaining tight.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$22,495
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds the strongest position among traders to finish first in Tocantins in the October 4 first round, reflecting recent state polls that place him narrowly ahead or tied with Flávio Bolsonaro. A late-August Quaest survey showed Lula at 37% to Flávio’s 32%, while Real Time Big Data found both at 36%, with Ronaldo Caiado at 6-7% and all other listed candidates in low single digits or below. Tocantins’ electorate, which gave Lula a narrow 2022 win, continues to show polarized support between the PT incumbent and the PL senator backed by the Bolsonaro family network. Lower polling for alternatives such as Romeu Zema, Pablo Marçal, and Renan Santos reinforces the two-candidate dynamic in the state, sustaining Lula’s edge in implied probability despite the overall national race remaining tight.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Tocantins, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Tocantins. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Tocantins. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$22,495
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

icon for ¿Ganará Lula la mayor cantidad de votos en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil de 2026?

¿Ganará Lula la mayor cantidad de votos en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil de 2026?

90%
Sí
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

80%
icon for ¿Obtendrá Lula la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en Bahía?

¿Obtendrá Lula la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en Bahía?

98%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Tocantins" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Lula" con 68%, seguido de "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 33%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 68¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 68% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Tocantins" ha generado $22.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Tocantins", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Tocantins" es "Lula" con 68%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 68% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 33%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Tocantins" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.