Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Rondônia
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Rondônia

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Rondônia
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Rondônia

Flavio Bolsonaro 97.5%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Renan Santos <1%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Polymarket

$16,493 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro 97.5%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Renan Santos <1%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Polymarket

$16,493 Vol.

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$9,929 Vol.

98%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$490 Vol.

1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$490 Vol.

1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$560 Vol.

1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$539 Vol.

1%

icon for Lula

Lula

$663 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$621 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$480 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$580 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$530 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$550 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$535 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$525 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Rondônia's conservative electorate and strong historical support for the Bolsonaro family underpin Flavio Bolsonaro's commanding lead for first place in the October 4 first round. The state delivered over 70% for Jair Bolsonaro in 2022, and recent regional polling shows Flavio ahead by wide margins, consistent with broader right-leaning sentiment across parts of the Amazon. As the Liberal Party nominee endorsed by his father, Flavio benefits from party infrastructure and limited competition from fragmented alternatives such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, or smaller-party figures. Trader consensus reflects low undecided shares and minimal recent momentum for challengers. A major national scandal or unexpected surge by another conservative could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to structural advantages holding through election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$16,493
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Rondônia's conservative electorate and strong historical support for the Bolsonaro family underpin Flavio Bolsonaro's commanding lead for first place in the October 4 first round. The state delivered over 70% for Jair Bolsonaro in 2022, and recent regional polling shows Flavio ahead by wide margins, consistent with broader right-leaning sentiment across parts of the Amazon. As the Liberal Party nominee endorsed by his father, Flavio benefits from party infrastructure and limited competition from fragmented alternatives such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, or smaller-party figures. Trader consensus reflects low undecided shares and minimal recent momentum for challengers. A major national scandal or unexpected surge by another conservative could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to structural advantages holding through election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$16,493
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

icon for ¿Ganará Lula la mayor cantidad de votos en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil de 2026?

¿Ganará Lula la mayor cantidad de votos en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil de 2026?

77%
Sí
icon for ¿Obtendrá Flavio Bolsonaro la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en Paraná?

¿Obtendrá Flavio Bolsonaro la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en Paraná?

96%
Sí
icon for ¿Obtendrá Flavio Bolsonaro la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en Roraima?

¿Obtendrá Flavio Bolsonaro la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en Roraima?

98%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Rondônia" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 98%, seguido de "Edmilson Costa" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Rondônia" ha generado $16.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Rondônia", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Rondônia" es "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Edmilson Costa" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Rondônia" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.