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icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Río de Janeiro
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Río de Janeiro

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Río de Janeiro
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Río de Janeiro

Flavio Bolsonaro 80%

Lula 17%

Pablo Marçal <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket

$21,420 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro 80%

Lula 17%

Pablo Marçal <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket

$21,420 Vol.

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$9,266 Vol.

80%

icon for Lula

Lula

$6,032 Vol.

17%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$1,278 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$453 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$373 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$747 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$639 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$567 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$373 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$375 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$453 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$431 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$433 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flavio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for first place in Rio de Janeiro’s first-round presidential vote due to consistent local polling advantages in his home state.** Recent surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data (July–early September 2026) show the PL senator ahead or statistically tied with incumbent President Lula (PT), typically in the 32–41% range versus Lula’s 30–37%, with other tested names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury registering single digits or lower. This positioning reflects Flavio’s established voter base in a state where his father previously performed strongly, contrasting with national aggregates where Lula holds a broader lead. Minor candidates including Pablo Marçal, Clariana Barão, and others remain at negligible levels in Rio-specific testing. The first-round contest occurs October 4, with no major late shifts reported in state-level data.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$21,420
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flavio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for first place in Rio de Janeiro’s first-round presidential vote due to consistent local polling advantages in his home state.** Recent surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data (July–early September 2026) show the PL senator ahead or statistically tied with incumbent President Lula (PT), typically in the 32–41% range versus Lula’s 30–37%, with other tested names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury registering single digits or lower. This positioning reflects Flavio’s established voter base in a state where his father previously performed strongly, contrasting with national aggregates where Lula holds a broader lead. Minor candidates including Pablo Marçal, Clariana Barão, and others remain at negligible levels in Rio-specific testing. The first-round contest occurs October 4, with no major late shifts reported in state-level data.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$21,420
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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¿Flavio Bolsonaro obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en São Paulo?

85%
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Río de Janeiro" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 80%, seguido de "Lula" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 80¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Río de Janeiro" ha generado $21.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Río de Janeiro", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Río de Janeiro" es "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 80%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Lula" con 17%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Río de Janeiro" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.