Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, with recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys showing him at 54-57% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the low 20s and all other tested names in single digits. Traders reflect this positioning through the incumbent's elevated approval ratings near 62% in the state, driven by steady government evaluations and regional voter patterns favoring his Workers' Party base. No major shifts in candidate eligibility, coalition alignments, or state-level events have altered the gap in the past month. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late surges by regional figures or changes in turnout among key demographics ahead of the October 4 ballot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrimera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco
Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pernambuco
Lula 96.6%
Flavio Bolsonaro 2.1%
Zema <1%
Renan Santos <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Lula
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
2%
Zema
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinario Wilson Grassi
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Lula 96.6%
Flavio Bolsonaro 2.1%
Zema <1%
Renan Santos <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
Lula
$6,006 Vol.
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$392 Vol.
2%
Zema
$286 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$272 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$272 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$318 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$329 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$406 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$329 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$286 Vol.
<1%
Veterinario Wilson Grassi
$285 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$329 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$329 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, with recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys showing him at 54-57% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the low 20s and all other tested names in single digits. Traders reflect this positioning through the incumbent's elevated approval ratings near 62% in the state, driven by steady government evaluations and regional voter patterns favoring his Workers' Party base. No major shifts in candidate eligibility, coalition alignments, or state-level events have altered the gap in the past month. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late surges by regional figures or changes in turnout among key demographics ahead of the October 4 ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Volumen
$9,838Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, with recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys showing him at 54-57% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the low 20s and all other tested names in single digits. Traders reflect this positioning through the incumbent's elevated approval ratings near 62% in the state, driven by steady government evaluations and regional voter patterns favoring his Workers' Party base. No major shifts in candidate eligibility, coalition alignments, or state-level events have altered the gap in the past month. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late surges by regional figures or changes in turnout among key demographics ahead of the October 4 ballot.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$9,838Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco polling for the October 2026 first-round presidential vote, with recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys showing him at 54-57% against Flávio Bolsonaro in the low 20s and all other tested names in single digits. Traders reflect this positioning through the incumbent's elevated approval ratings near 62% in the state, driven by steady government evaluations and regional voter patterns favoring his Workers' Party base. No major shifts in candidate eligibility, coalition alignments, or state-level events have altered the gap in the past month. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late surges by regional figures or changes in turnout among key demographics ahead of the October 4 ballot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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