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icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Paraná
Elecciones·Elección Principal

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Paraná

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Paraná
Elecciones·Elección Principal

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Paraná

Flavio Bolsonaro 95%

Lula 3.1%

Renan Santos <1%

Escritor Augusto Cury <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Flavio Bolsonaro 95%

Lula 3.1%

Renan Santos <1%

Escritor Augusto Cury <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$2,997 Vol.

95%

icon for Lula

Lula

$330 Vol.

3%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$336 Vol.

1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$516 Vol.

1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$413 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$544 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$467 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$511 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$511 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$511 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$523 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$434 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$511 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Paraná presidential voting intentions according to late-August surveys, driven by sustained regional strength of bolsonarismo, alignment with local PL figures such as gubernatorial frontrunner Sergio Moro, and elevated rejection levels for incumbent Lula. Traders price the senator at 94.5% to finish first in the state on October 4, reflecting consistent double-digit margins in recent state-specific polling. National head-to-heads remain tighter, yet Paraná’s distinct voter base and limited penetration by other listed candidates reinforce the current consensus. Late developments including campaign advertising, turnout patterns among conservative-leaning municipalities, or unforeseen national events could still alter the state outcome before first-round voting concludes.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$8,602
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Paraná presidential voting intentions according to late-August surveys, driven by sustained regional strength of bolsonarismo, alignment with local PL figures such as gubernatorial frontrunner Sergio Moro, and elevated rejection levels for incumbent Lula. Traders price the senator at 94.5% to finish first in the state on October 4, reflecting consistent double-digit margins in recent state-specific polling. National head-to-heads remain tighter, yet Paraná’s distinct voter base and limited penetration by other listed candidates reinforce the current consensus. Late developments including campaign advertising, turnout patterns among conservative-leaning municipalities, or unforeseen national events could still alter the state outcome before first-round voting concludes.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$8,602
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

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¿Flavio Bolsonaro obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en São Paulo?

85%
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Paraná" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 95%, seguido de "Lula" con 3%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 95¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Paraná" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Paraná", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Paraná" es "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 95%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Lula" con 3%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Paraná" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.