Lula maintains a commanding lead in Paraíba for the 2026 Brazilian presidential first round, with recent Quaest and AtlasIntel surveys showing him at 50-52% support against single-digit or low-20s figures for rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. Northeast regional voting patterns, combined with Lula's comparatively lower rejection levels and positive government approval ratings in the state, underpin trader consensus on his frontrunner status. The October 4 first-round vote approaches with consistent polling through early September reinforcing this positioning. Late developments such as shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or unexpected national campaign events could still alter local outcomes, though current evidence points to structural barriers for challengers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLula 97.3%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
Samara <1%
$39,980 Vol.
$39,980 Vol.
Lula
97%
Escritor Augusto Cury
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Samara
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Zema
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Lula 97.3%
Escritor Augusto Cury <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
Samara <1%
$39,980 Vol.
$39,980 Vol.
Lula
97%
Escritor Augusto Cury
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Samara
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Zema
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Paraíba for the 2026 Brazilian presidential first round, with recent Quaest and AtlasIntel surveys showing him at 50-52% support against single-digit or low-20s figures for rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. Northeast regional voting patterns, combined with Lula's comparatively lower rejection levels and positive government approval ratings in the state, underpin trader consensus on his frontrunner status. The October 4 first-round vote approaches with consistent polling through early September reinforcing this positioning. Late developments such as shifts in turnout among key voting blocs or unexpected national campaign events could still alter local outcomes, though current evidence points to structural barriers for challengers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Obtendrá Lula la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en Pará?
¿Ganará Lula la mayor cantidad de votos en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil de 2026?
¿Flavio Bolsonaro obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en São Paulo?
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes