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icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pará
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pará

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pará
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pará

Lula 94%

Flavio Bolsonaro 4.3%

Ronaldo Caiado 2.7%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Polymarket

$17,480 Vol.

Lula 94%

Flavio Bolsonaro 4.3%

Ronaldo Caiado 2.7%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Polymarket

$17,480 Vol.

icon for Lula

Lula

$8,201 Vol.

94%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$1,214 Vol.

4%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$574 Vol.

3%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$555 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$857 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$1,289 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$663 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$658 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$685 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$698 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$490 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$608 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$989 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pará polling for first-round first place, with a recent Real Time Big Data survey showing him at 41% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 31% and all other candidates below 8%. This reflects the incumbent president's established support base in northern states, where PT-aligned voters and regional economic priorities have historically favored Workers' Party candidates. National trends show a tightening race overall, with government approval near 43% and disapproval at 50%, yet Pará-specific data indicate limited spillover from broader headwinds. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Lula aligns with these patterns, though a late consolidation of opposition votes, turnout shifts among undecideds, or major campaign developments within the final weeks before the October 4 first round could narrow the margin.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$17,480
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pará polling for first-round first place, with a recent Real Time Big Data survey showing him at 41% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 31% and all other candidates below 8%. This reflects the incumbent president's established support base in northern states, where PT-aligned voters and regional economic priorities have historically favored Workers' Party candidates. National trends show a tightening race overall, with government approval near 43% and disapproval at 50%, yet Pará-specific data indicate limited spillover from broader headwinds. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Lula aligns with these patterns, though a late consolidation of opposition votes, turnout shifts among undecideds, or major campaign developments within the final weeks before the October 4 first round could narrow the margin.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$17,480
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

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¿Obtendrá Lula la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en Paraíba?

97%
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¿Ganará Lula la mayor cantidad de votos en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil de 2026?

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pará" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Lula" con 94%, seguido de "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 94¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pará" ha generado $17.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pará", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pará" es "Lula" con 94%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 4%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Pará" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.