Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Mato Grosso do Sul
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Mato Grosso do Sul

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Mato Grosso do Sul
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Mato Grosso do Sul

Flavio Bolsonaro 96.2%

Clariana Barao 1.3%

Lula 1.3%

Hertz Dias <1%

Polymarket

$10,577 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro 96.2%

Clariana Barao 1.3%

Lula 1.3%

Hertz Dias <1%

Polymarket

$10,577 Vol.

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$6,113 Vol.

96%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$338 Vol.

1%

icon for Lula

Lula

$518 Vol.

1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$354 Vol.

1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$400 Vol.

1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$285 Vol.

1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$363 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$431 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$376 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$278 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$333 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$397 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$390 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Mato Grosso do Sul first-round polling, with recent Real Time Big Data surveys showing him at 43% against Lula at 33% and all other candidates in single digits. This positioning reflects the state's agricultural economy and voter alignment with PL candidates, reinforced by local backing for Governor Eduardo Riedel and consolidation of Bolsonarista support following Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement. Fragmented opposition from names including Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, and Augusto Cury limits any unified challenge. Trader consensus prices this outcome near-certain, though shifts in undecided voters, turnout differentials, or late campaign developments before the October 4 vote could still alter the result.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$10,577
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in Mato Grosso do Sul first-round polling, with recent Real Time Big Data surveys showing him at 43% against Lula at 33% and all other candidates in single digits. This positioning reflects the state's agricultural economy and voter alignment with PL candidates, reinforced by local backing for Governor Eduardo Riedel and consolidation of Bolsonarista support following Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement. Fragmented opposition from names including Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, Romeu Zema, and Augusto Cury limits any unified challenge. Trader consensus prices this outcome near-certain, though shifts in undecided voters, turnout differentials, or late campaign developments before the October 4 vote could still alter the result.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$10,577
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

icon for ¿Obtendrá Flavio Bolsonaro la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en Mato Grosso?

¿Obtendrá Flavio Bolsonaro la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en Mato Grosso?

96%
Sí
icon for ¿Ganará Flavio Bolsonaro la mayor cantidad de votos en la próxima elección presidencial de Brasil en Río Grande do Sul?

¿Ganará Flavio Bolsonaro la mayor cantidad de votos en la próxima elección presidencial de Brasil en Río Grande do Sul?

89%
Sí
icon for ¿Obtendrá Flavio Bolsonaro la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en Paraná?

¿Obtendrá Flavio Bolsonaro la mayor cantidad de votos en las próximas elecciones presidenciales de Brasil en Paraná?

96%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Mato Grosso do Sul" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 96%, seguido de "Clariana Barao" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 96¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Mato Grosso do Sul" ha generado $10.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Mato Grosso do Sul", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Mato Grosso do Sul" es "Flavio Bolsonaro" con 96%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Clariana Barao" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Mato Grosso do Sul" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.