Recent trader positioning around 3.3–3.5% for August 2026 headline CPI year-over-year reflects expectations that a rebound in energy prices, especially gasoline, will produce a 0.3–0.4% month-over-month increase after July’s subdued 0.1% reading. July CPI printed 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts and bank forecasts (TD Securities, consensus) center on 3.38–3.4% for August, supported by firmer shelter and services components offsetting softer core goods. Elevated crude prices amid ongoing Middle East tensions and the final pre-FOMC data point have kept probabilities concentrated in this narrow band, with markets assigning limited weight to sharper deviations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado3,4% 45%
3.3% 34%
3,5% 14%
3,2% 8.2%
$76,545 Vol.
$76,545 Vol.
10 sep 2026
≤2,9%
<1%
3,0%
1%
3,1%
1%
3,2%
8%
3.3%
34%
3,4%
45%
3,5%
14%
3,6%
2%
3,7%
1%
3,8%
<1%
3,9%
<1%
≥4.0%
<1%
3,4% 45%
3.3% 34%
3,5% 14%
3,2% 8.2%
$76,545 Vol.
$76,545 Vol.
10 sep 2026
≤2,9%
$1,796 Vol.
<1%
3,0%
$1,607 Vol.
1%
3,1%
$1,706 Vol.
1%
3,2%
$2,542 Vol.
8%
3.3%
$16,325 Vol.
34%
3,4%
$29,218 Vol.
45%
3,5%
$12,475 Vol.
14%
3,6%
$2,481 Vol.
2%
3,7%
$1,759 Vol.
1%
3,8%
$1,397 Vol.
<1%
3,9%
$1,628 Vol.
<1%
≥4.0%
$3,610 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent trader positioning around 3.3–3.5% for August 2026 headline CPI year-over-year reflects expectations that a rebound in energy prices, especially gasoline, will produce a 0.3–0.4% month-over-month increase after July’s subdued 0.1% reading. July CPI printed 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts and bank forecasts (TD Securities, consensus) center on 3.38–3.4% for August, supported by firmer shelter and services components offsetting softer core goods. Elevated crude prices amid ongoing Middle East tensions and the final pre-FOMC data point have kept probabilities concentrated in this narrow band, with markets assigning limited weight to sharper deviations.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volumen
$76,545Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent trader positioning around 3.3–3.5% for August 2026 headline CPI year-over-year reflects expectations that a rebound in energy prices, especially gasoline, will produce a 0.3–0.4% month-over-month increase after July’s subdued 0.1% reading. July CPI printed 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts and bank forecasts (TD Securities, consensus) center on 3.38–3.4% for August, supported by firmer shelter and services components offsetting softer core goods. Elevated crude prices amid ongoing Middle East tensions and the final pre-FOMC data point have kept probabilities concentrated in this narrow band, with markets assigning limited weight to sharper deviations.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$76,545Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent trader positioning around 3.3–3.5% for August 2026 headline CPI year-over-year reflects expectations that a rebound in energy prices, especially gasoline, will produce a 0.3–0.4% month-over-month increase after July’s subdued 0.1% reading. July CPI printed 3.4% year-over-year with core at 2.5%, while Cleveland Fed nowcasts and bank forecasts (TD Securities, consensus) center on 3.38–3.4% for August, supported by firmer shelter and services components offsetting softer core goods. Elevated crude prices amid ongoing Middle East tensions and the final pre-FOMC data point have kept probabilities concentrated in this narrow band, with markets assigning limited weight to sharper deviations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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