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¿La moratoria del centro de datos de IA se aprobó antes de 2027?

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¿La moratoria del centro de datos de IA se aprobó antes de 2027?

19% probabilidad
Polymarket

$12,597 Vol.

19% probabilidad
Polymarket

$12,597 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting stalled legislative momentum despite heightened scrutiny over AI data centers' massive energy demands and environmental impacts. The March 25 announcement of the federal Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez generated buzz but failed to advance amid industry lobbying, economic incentives like tax breaks in 38 states, and political gridlock. State-level bills in places like Vermont (S.205) and proposed moratoriums in Maine and Pennsylvania remain unpassed, with 14 proposals across 11 states faltering as of mid-March. Local pauses in Georgia counties predate 2026 without broader AI-specific enactment. With eight months until 2027, upcoming sessions offer slim catalysts for surprise passage.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.

The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$12,597
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting stalled legislative momentum despite heightened scrutiny over AI data centers' massive energy demands and environmental impacts. The March 25 announcement of the federal Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez generated buzz but failed to advance amid industry lobbying, economic incentives like tax breaks in 38 states, and political gridlock. State-level bills in places like Vermont (S.205) and proposed moratoriums in Maine and Pennsylvania remain unpassed, with 14 proposals across 11 states faltering as of mid-March. Local pauses in Georgia counties predate 2026 without broader AI-specific enactment. With eight months until 2027, upcoming sessions offer slim catalysts for surprise passage.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.

The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$12,597
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La moratoria del centro de datos de IA se aprobó antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Se aprobó una moratoria para centros de datos de IA antes de 2027?" con 19%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 19¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿La moratoria del centro de datos de IA se aprobó antes de 2027?" ha generado $12.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 17, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿La moratoria del centro de datos de IA se aprobó antes de 2027?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La moratoria del centro de datos de IA se aprobó antes de 2027?" es "¿Se aprobó una moratoria para centros de datos de IA antes de 2027?" con 19%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La moratoria del centro de datos de IA se aprobó antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.