Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 81.5% implied probability for an AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, driven by the stark lack of progress on S.4214, the Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act introduced by Sen. Bernie Sanders on March 25, 2026. Referred to the Senate Commerce Committee with zero co-sponsors or hearings in the ensuing 11 days, the bill faces steep bipartisan resistance amid the Trump administration's pro-innovation AI framework and fierce tech industry lobbying prioritizing economic growth over pauses. State-level moratorium talks persist, but federal passage remains improbable without seismic shifts, with Congress's 2026 session winding down as the key upcoming hurdle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
$12,597 Vol.
$12,597 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$12,597 Vol.
$12,597 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 81.5% implied probability for an AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, driven by the stark lack of progress on S.4214, the Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act introduced by Sen. Bernie Sanders on March 25, 2026. Referred to the Senate Commerce Committee with zero co-sponsors or hearings in the ensuing 11 days, the bill faces steep bipartisan resistance amid the Trump administration's pro-innovation AI framework and fierce tech industry lobbying prioritizing economic growth over pauses. State-level moratorium talks persist, but federal passage remains improbable without seismic shifts, with Congress's 2026 session winding down as the key upcoming hurdle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
Volumen
$12,597Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 81.5% implied probability for an AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, driven by the stark lack of progress on S.4214, the Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act introduced by Sen. Bernie Sanders on March 25, 2026. Referred to the Senate Commerce Committee with zero co-sponsors or hearings in the ensuing 11 days, the bill faces steep bipartisan resistance amid the Trump administration's pro-innovation AI framework and fierce tech industry lobbying prioritizing economic growth over pauses. State-level moratorium talks persist, but federal passage remains improbable without seismic shifts, with Congress's 2026 session winding down as the key upcoming hurdle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$12,597Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 81.5% implied probability for an AI data center moratorium passing before 2027, driven by the stark lack of progress on S.4214, the Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act introduced by Sen. Bernie Sanders on March 25, 2026. Referred to the Senate Commerce Committee with zero co-sponsors or hearings in the ensuing 11 days, the bill faces steep bipartisan resistance amid the Trump administration's pro-innovation AI framework and fierce tech industry lobbying prioritizing economic growth over pauses. State-level moratorium talks persist, but federal passage remains improbable without seismic shifts, with Congress's 2026 session winding down as the key upcoming hurdle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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