Mailza Assis (PP) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the Acre governor runoff after securing 49.76% in the first round on October 4, advancing against Alan Rick (Republicanos) who received 32.27%. As the incumbent who assumed office in April 2026 following Gladson Cameli’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, Assis benefits from name recognition, a broad coalition that includes PL and MDB allies, and demonstrated first-round strength across the state. Polls in September showed her ahead or in technical ties before her stronger-than-expected performance consolidated support. The October 25 runoff leaves limited time for shifts, though late endorsements, turnout variations in key municipalities, or opposition consolidation could narrow the margin. Other candidates, including Tião Bocalom, received under 11% and did not advance.