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2023 Global Heat Increase

$1,536,163 Vol.

Dec 30, 2023

Reglas

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2023 shows an increase of 1.05°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of 1.05°C or greater for 2023 will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for 2023 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2023" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2023 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
Volumen
$1,536,163
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2023
Creado en
Aug 18, 2023, 5:44 PM ET

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Market icon

2023 Global Heat Increase

$1,536,163 Vol.

Market icon

1.05+

$307,567 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

1.08+

$307,850 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

1.11+

$329,086 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

1.13+

$353,862 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

1.15+

$138,175 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

1.18+

$99,624 Vol.

No

Acerca de

Volumen
$1,536,163
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2023
Creado en
Aug 18, 2023, 5:44 PM ET

Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.