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Tech·App Store

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?
Tech·App Store

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?

Ended: may 12

jun 13

Ended: may 12

jun 13

ChatGPT 100.0%

Google Gemini <1%

Google <1%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses <1%

Polymarket

$20,873 Vol.

ChatGPT 100.0%

Google Gemini <1%

Google <1%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses <1%

Polymarket

$20,873 Vol.

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$524 Vol.

No

icon for Google

Google

$1,530 Vol.

No

icon for Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

$576 Vol.

No

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$2,542 Vol.

No

icon for ALO

ALO

$1,467 Vol.

No

icon for CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

$428 Vol.

No

icon for Temu: Compra como un multimillonario

Temu: Compra como un multimillonario

$483 Vol.

No

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$10,593 Vol.

Sí

icon for Claude de Anthropic

Claude de Anthropic

$2,731 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).OpenAI's ChatGPT app commands a unanimous 100% implied probability as the #1 free iPhone app in the US Apple App Store on May 12, driven by its current top ranking on live charts ahead of rivals like Anthropic's Claude (#2) and Google's Gemini (#3). A May 6 update enhanced features, including advanced image generation and cross-device sync, reignited downloads amid sustained AI assistant demand, following a GPT-5.5 Instant release that boosted usage earlier in the month. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time Sensor Tower and App Store data, with the app's ecosystem integrations solidifying its edge. Realistic challenges include hourly ranking volatility from viral surges in shopping apps like Temu or editors like CapCut, though non-AI displacement remains unlikely absent major catalysts before end-of-day resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volumen
$20,873
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 9, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).OpenAI's ChatGPT app commands a unanimous 100% implied probability as the #1 free iPhone app in the US Apple App Store on May 12, driven by its current top ranking on live charts ahead of rivals like Anthropic's Claude (#2) and Google's Gemini (#3). A May 6 update enhanced features, including advanced image generation and cross-device sync, reignited downloads amid sustained AI assistant demand, following a GPT-5.5 Instant release that boosted usage earlier in the month. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game certainty from real-time Sensor Tower and App Store data, with the app's ecosystem integrations solidifying its edge. Realistic challenges include hourly ranking volatility from viral surges in shopping apps like Temu or editors like CapCut, though non-AI displacement remains unlikely absent major catalysts before end-of-day resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volumen
$20,873
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 9, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "ChatGPT" con 100%, seguido de "Google Gemini" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?" ha generado $20.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 9, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?" es "ChatGPT" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Google Gemini" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.