Election odds & predictions

97%

António José Seguro (IND)

3%

André Ventura (CH)

<1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)

89%

Tô Lâm

9%

Phan Văn Giang

1%

Trần Cẩm Tú

1%

Trần Thanh Mẫn

96%

Lê Minh Hưng

<1%

Phạm Minh Chính

<1%

Lương Tam Quang

<1%

Phạm Thị Thanh Trà

92%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

3%

José Miguel Aguilar Berrocal

2%

Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo

2%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

97%

PPSO

3%

PLN

<1%

PNR

<1%

AVANZA

62%

People’s Party (PPLE)

35%

Bhumjaithai Party (BJT)

3%

Pheu Thai Party (PT)

<1%

Palang Pracharath Party (PPRP)

98%

PP

2%

PSOE

<1%

VOX

<1%

CHA

95%

LDP

5%

CRA

<1%

Sanseitō

<1%

JCP

94%

Sanae Takaichi

3%

Yoshihiko Noda

2%

Shinjirō Koizumi

<1%

Yūichirō Tamaki

74%

Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)

26%

Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI)

<1%

Jatiya Party (JP(E))

<1%

Workers’ Party of Bangladesh (WPB)

72%

RSP

17%

NC

7%

CPN-UML

7%

NCP

60%

Pacto Histórico (PH)

31%

Centro Democrático (CD)

5%

Alianza Verde / Coalición Centro Esperanza (AV/CCE)

2%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC)

54%

Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)

34%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

8%

Centro Democrático (CD)

3%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)

74%

Benoît Payan

24%

Franck Allisio

2%

Martine Vassal

1%

Sébastien Delogu

85%

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)

12%

Freedom Movement (GS)

3%

Democrats (D)

1%

Social Democrats (SD)

16%

Alejandro Reyes

22%

Iván Arias

9%

Waldo Albarracín

6%

Jhonny Plata

53%

Manuel Saavedra

34%

José Gary Áñez

28%

Angélica Sosa

28%

Oscar Vargas

25%

Juan Antonio Jesús

22%

Cecilia Calani

21%

Fátima Tardío

21%

Richard Moscoso

64%

CDU

34%

SPD

3%

AfD

<1%

FW

28%

Luis Fernando Camacho

27%

Juan Pablo Velasco

11%

Guido Eduardo Nayar

9%

Vladimir Peña

38%

Luis Antonio Revilla

17%

Santos Quispe Quispe

10%

Felix Patzi

9%

Richard Andrés Gómez

28%

Sergio Oliver Rodríguez

19%

Esther Soria Gonzales

17%

Mario Enrique Severich

13%

Jhon Ariel Rioja

45%

Manfred Reyes Villa

28%

Rocio Alejandra Molina

28%

Cristian Tastaca

27%

Ramón Daza

59%

Emmanuel Grégoire

34%

Rachida Dati

5%

Sarah Knafo

<1%

Pierre-Yves Bournazel

89%

CDU

9%

The Greens

3%

AfD

<1%

BSW

72%

Waddani

40%

No election before 2027

6%

Kulmiye

4%

Justice and Welfare (UCID)

46%

Rafael López Aliaga

14%

Keiko Fujimori

9%

Alfonso López Chau

8%

José Williams

48%

RP

40%

APP

38%

PL

38%

PP

32%

FP

6%

PL

29%

AP

6%

APP

53%

Péter Magyar

45%

Viktor Orbán

<1%

László Toroczkai

<1%

Klára Dobrev

69%

Janez Janša

24%

Robert Golob

5%

Anže Logar

5%

Vladimir Prebilič

57%

TISZA

43%

Fidesz

<1%

Momentum

<1%

DK

51%

AITC

38%

BJP

7%

INC

5%

BGPM

88%

BJP

9%

INC

1%

AGP

1%

BPF

47%

DMK

44%

TVK

7%

ADMK

2%

CPI

66%

INC

33%

CPI(M)

3%

BJP

<1%

KEC(M)

38%

Iván Cepeda Castro

35%

Abelardo de la Espriella

7%

Paloma Valencia

4%

Juan Carlos Pinzón

62%

Chong Won-oh

27%

Oh Se-hoon

7%

Na Kyung-won

4%

Park Ju-min

43%

Choo Mi-ae

37%

Kim Dong-yeon

11%

Han Jun-ho

7%

Yoo Seong-min

94%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

6%

People Power Party (PPP)

<1%

Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)

<1%

Reform Party (RP)

19%

Kim Jin-tae

<1%

Kim Wan-seop

<1%

Lee Chul-gyu

<1%

Kweon Seong-dong

86%

Park Chan-dae

7%

Yoo Jeong-bok

4%

Kim Kyo-heung

2%

Park Nam-choon

49%

Chun Jae-soo

45%

Park Heong-joon

5%

Kim Do-eup

4%

Cho Kuk

40%

Cho Gil-hyeong

<1%

Song Ki-sub

21%

Shin Yong-han

4%

Kim Young-hwan

36%

Moon Jin-seok

34%

Park Soo-hyun

34%

Kang Hoon-sik

34%

Yoon Sang-hyun

73%

Civil Contract

21%

Armenia Alliance

2%

Bright Armenia

2%

Prosperous Armenia

37%

AINRC

6%

DMK

13%

INC

10%

BJP

73%

Magdalena Andersson

16%

Ulf Kristersson

10%

Jimmie Åkesson

1%

Ebba Busch

90%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

8%

Sweden Democrats (SD)

2%

Moderate Party (M)

<1%

Liberals (L)

73%

United Russia (ER)

16%

New People (NL)

5%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

97%

United Russia (ER)

2%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

1%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

<1%

Rodina

52%

Albin Kurti

47%

Fatmir Limaj

3%

Lumir Abdixhiku

3%

Bedri Hamza

40%

JV

35%

NA

23%

LPV

10%

SV

53%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

24%

Flávio Bolsonaro

7%

Tarcisio de Freitas

7%

Renan Santos

76%

PQ

17%

PLQ

9%

CAQ

<1%

PCQ

79%

Democratic Party

22%

Republican Party

66%

Republican Party

35%

Democratic Party

87%

Kuomintang (KMT)

13%

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)

2%

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)

20%

Iliana Iotova

14%

Nikolai Denkov

7%

Rosen Zhelyazkov

6%

Blagomir Kotsev

35%

Gavin Newsom

10%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

7%

Josh Shapiro

5%

Pete Buttigieg

27%

JD Vance

20%

Gavin Newsom

8%

Marco Rubio

7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

52%

J.D. Vance

15%

Marco Rubio

4%

Donald Trump

3%

Ron DeSantis

92%

PP

5%

PSOE

4%

VOX