Election odds & predictions

97%

António José Seguro (IND)

3%

André Ventura (CH)

<1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)

84%

Lê Minh Hưng

16%

Phạm Minh Chính

<1%

Nguyễn Hòa Bình

<1%

Lương Tam Quang

51%

Phạm Minh Chính

49%

Tô Lâm

49%

Phan Văn Giang

47%

Trần Cẩm Tú

89%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

6%

José Miguel Aguilar Berrocal

2%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

1%

Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo

96%

PPSO

2%

PLN

<1%

FA

<1%

AVANZA

57%

People’s Party (PPLE)

40%

Bhumjaithai Party (BJT)

3%

Pheu Thai Party (PT)

<1%

Democrat Party (DP)

96%

PP

3%

PSOE

1%

VOX

<1%

CHA

96%

Sanae Takaichi

3%

Yoshihiko Noda

<1%

Shinjirō Koizumi

<1%

Yūichirō Tamaki

95%

LDP

5%

CRA

<1%

Sanseitō

<1%

JCP

80%

Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)

20%

Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI)

<1%

Islami Andolan Bangladesh (IAD)

<1%

National Citizen Party (NCP)

70%

RSP

19%

NC

11%

CPN-UML

9%

NCP

47%

Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)

30%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

8%

Centro Democrático (CD)

4%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)

56%

Pacto Histórico (PH)

30%

Centro Democrático (CD)

7%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC)

4%

Alianza Verde / Coalición Centro Esperanza (AV/CCE)

73%

Benoît Payan

24%

Franck Allisio

3%

Martine Vassal

1%

Sébastien Delogu

85%

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)

12%

Freedom Movement (GS)

3%

Social Democrats (SD)

2%

Democrats (D)

55%

Alejandro Reyes

33%

Waldo Albarracín

29%

Jhonny Plata

29%

Iván Arias

48%

Manuel Saavedra

27%

Félix Oros

6%

Jhonny Fernández

6%

Angélica Sosa

30%

Richard Moscoso

30%

Cristian Sanabria

38%

Fátima Tardío

29%

Pablo Arízaga

25%

Santos Quispe Quispe

4%

Fidel Chura

20%

Luis Antonio Revilla

4%

Orlando Callisaya

74%

CDU

16%

SPD

9%

AfD

<1%

FDP

35%

Luis Fernando Camacho

20%

Guido Eduardo Nayar

17%

Chi Hyun Chung

12%

Juan Carlos Medrano

21%

Sergio Oliver Rodríguez

19%

Esther Soria Gonzales

16%

Mario Enrique Severich

13%

Jhon Ariel Rioja

34%

Manfred Reyes Villa

34%

José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín

33%

Francisco Javier Bellott

32%

Rocio Alejandra Molina

55%

Emmanuel Grégoire

38%

Rachida Dati

5%

Sarah Knafo

<1%

Pierre-Yves Bournazel

61%

Waddani

40%

No election before 2027

6%

Kulmiye

4%

Justice and Welfare (UCID)

90%

CDU

6%

AfD

5%

The Greens

<1%

BSW

42%

Rafael López Aliaga

13%

Keiko Fujimori

10%

Alfonso López Chau

9%

José Williams

50%

RP

40%

APP

39%

PL

39%

PP

32%

FP

6%

PL

24%

AP

6%

APP

53%

Péter Magyar

45%

Viktor Orbán

<1%

László Toroczkai

<1%

Klára Dobrev

76%

Janez Janša

17%

Robert Golob

6%

Vladimir Prebilič

5%

Anže Logar

62%

TISZA

39%

Fidesz

<1%

Momentum

<1%

DK

54%

AITC

39%

BJP

9%

INC

5%

CPI

91%

BJP

5%

INC

3%

NCP

3%

AITC

51%

DMK

32%

TVK

6%

ADMK

5%

CPI

68%

INC

31%

CPI(M)

1%

KEC(M)

<1%

RSP

38%

Iván Cepeda Castro

35%

Abelardo de la Espriella

7%

Paloma Valencia

6%

Juan Carlos Pinzón

61%

Chong Won-oh

30%

Oh Se-hoon

7%

Na Kyung-won

3%

Park Ju-min

40%

Choo Mi-ae

39%

Kim Dong-yeon

13%

Han Jun-ho

7%

Yoo Seong-min

94%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

6%

People Power Party (PPP)

<1%

Progressive Party (PP)

<1%

Reform Party (RP)

27%

Kim Jin-tae

<1%

Kim Wan-seop

<1%

Lee Chul-gyu

<1%

Kweon Seong-dong

89%

Park Chan-dae

6%

Yoo Jeong-bok

3%

Kim Kyo-heung

2%

Park Nam-choon

26%

Cho Gil-hyeong

27%

Shin Yong-han

<1%

Song Ki-sub

4%

Kim Young-hwan

48%

Park Heong-joon

42%

Chun Jae-soo

<1%

Kim Do-eup

<1%

Cho Kuk

37%

Moon Jin-seok

34%

Kang Hoon-sik

34%

Park Soo-hyun

30%

Yoon Sang-hyun

74%

Civil Contract

21%

Armenia Alliance

3%

Bright Armenia

3%

Prosperous Armenia

70%

AINRC

6%

DMK

13%

INC

11%

ADMK

72%

Magdalena Andersson

14%

Ulf Kristersson

6%

Jimmie Åkesson

5%

Ebba Busch

91%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

7%

Sweden Democrats (SD)

2%

Moderate Party (M)

1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

79%

United Russia (ER)

14%

New People (NL)

4%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

97%

United Russia (ER)

1%

Civic Platform (GP)

<1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

<1%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

52%

Albin Kurti

48%

Fatmir Limaj

4%

Lumir Abdixhiku

4%

Bedri Hamza

40%

JV

33%

NA

22%

LPV

10%

SV

53%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

19%

Flávio Bolsonaro

13%

Tarcisio de Freitas

6%

Renan Santos

76%

PQ

16%

PLQ

9%

CAQ

<1%

PCQ

78%

Democratic Party

23%

Republican Party

66%

Republican Party

35%

Democratic Party

87%

Kuomintang (KMT)

14%

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)

<1%

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)

29%

Iliana Iotova

17%

Nikolai Denkov

14%

Krum Zarkov

14%

Rosen Zhelyazkov

35%

Gavin Newsom

11%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

7%

Josh Shapiro

5%

Pete Buttigieg

27%

JD Vance

20%

Gavin Newsom

9%

Marco Rubio

7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

53%

J.D. Vance

16%

Marco Rubio

4%

Donald Trump

3%

Ron DeSantis

92%

PP

5%

PSOE

4%

VOX