Trader consensus favors Tunisia at 45.5% implied probability in this closely contested international friendly at neutral BMO Field in Toronto, driven by their superior FIFA ranking (#47 vs. Haiti's #83), deeper pool of European-based players, and defensive solidity despite an unbeaten World Cup qualifying campaign yielding clean sheets. Haiti's 23% pricing reflects solid momentum from topping CONCACAF Group C with recent form (DDWLWW, including 2-0 over Nicaragua), bolstered by coach Sebastien Migne's cohesive unit and new call-ups like Wilson Isidor, though defender Carlens Arcus is sidelined. The elevated 30.5% draw odds stem from both sides' cautious approaches—new Tunisia coach Sabri Lamouchi bedding in post-AFCON changes amid injuries to Mejbri, Bronn, and Achouri—marking their first-ever head-to-head as 2026 World Cup prep.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

If Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 28, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 28, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Tunisia at 45.5% implied probability in this closely contested international friendly at neutral BMO Field in Toronto, driven by their superior FIFA ranking (#47 vs. Haiti's #83), deeper pool of European-based players, and defensive solidity despite an unbeaten World Cup qualifying campaign yielding clean sheets. Haiti's 23% pricing reflects solid momentum from topping CONCACAF Group C with recent form (DDWLWW, including 2-0 over Nicaragua), bolstered by coach Sebastien Migne's cohesive unit and new call-ups like Wilson Isidor, though defender Carlens Arcus is sidelined. The elevated 30.5% draw odds stem from both sides' cautious approaches—new Tunisia coach Sabri Lamouchi bedding in post-AFCON changes amid injuries to Mejbri, Bronn, and Achouri—marking their first-ever head-to-head as 2026 World Cup prep.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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