Canada's slight edge at 55% implied probability stems from home advantage at BMO Field, where they've posted an 80% clean sheet rate in recent matches, bolstered by an unbeaten run in five friendlies including a gritty 2-2 comeback draw versus Iceland on March 28—Jonathan David scoring twice from penalties despite Tajon Buchanan's red card suspension. Tunisia, fresh off a 1-0 win over Haiti, holds at 19.5% amid absences like Hannibal Mejbri's hamstring injury, Dylan Bronn, and Elias Achouri, facing a higher-ranked Canada (#29 FIFA vs. #47) under new coach Sabri Lamouchi. The 26.5% draw reflects a competitive World Cup tune-up with both sides managing injury hits—Ismaël Koné set to start for Canada, showers forecast at 10°C potentially favoring the hosts' defensive setup.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

If Canada wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 4, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Canada wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 4, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Canada's slight edge at 55% implied probability stems from home advantage at BMO Field, where they've posted an 80% clean sheet rate in recent matches, bolstered by an unbeaten run in five friendlies including a gritty 2-2 comeback draw versus Iceland on March 28—Jonathan David scoring twice from penalties despite Tajon Buchanan's red card suspension. Tunisia, fresh off a 1-0 win over Haiti, holds at 19.5% amid absences like Hannibal Mejbri's hamstring injury, Dylan Bronn, and Elias Achouri, facing a higher-ranked Canada (#29 FIFA vs. #47) under new coach Sabri Lamouchi. The 26.5% draw reflects a competitive World Cup tune-up with both sides managing injury hits—Ismaël Koné set to start for Canada, showers forecast at 10°C potentially favoring the hosts' defensive setup.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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