Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane share the lead at 14.5% implied probability in the 2026 World Cup top goalscorer market, reflecting trader consensus on their strong club form, proven international scoring records, and favorable paths for France and England. Erling Haaland sits at 7% amid Norway’s qualification push and his qualifying output, while Mikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, and Cristiano Ronaldo follow closely behind at 6.5–5.6%, supported by Spain’s depth, Argentina’s experience, and Portugal’s attacking options. The tight clustering stems from multiple high-volume forwards on competitive squads, variable group-stage minutes, and the wide-open nature of a 48-team tournament where upsets and rotation can shift scoring opportunities rapidly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWM: Toptorschütze
Kylian Mbappe 15%
Harry Kane 15%
Erling Haaland 7%
Mikel Oyarzabal 7%
$354,673 Vol.
$354,673 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
15%
Harry Kane
15%
Erling Haaland
7%
Mikel Oyarzabal
7%
Lionel Messi
6%
Cristiano Ronaldo
6%
Lamine Yamal
6%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Raphinha
4%
Vinicius Junior
4%
Ousmane Dembele
3%
Lautaro Martinez
3%
Michael Olise
3%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Igor Thiago
2%
Ferran Torres
2%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Depay Memphis
2%
Rafael Leao
2%
Viktor Gyökeres
2%
Deniz Undav
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Mohamed Salah
1%
Jude Bellingham
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Dani Olmo
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Marcus Thuram
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Bradley Barcola
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Scott McTominay
1%
Heung-Min Son
1%
Sadio Mane
1%
Antoine Semenyo
1%
Pedri
1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
Kylian Mbappe 15%
Harry Kane 15%
Erling Haaland 7%
Mikel Oyarzabal 7%
$354,673 Vol.
$354,673 Vol.
Kylian Mbappe
15%
Harry Kane
15%
Erling Haaland
7%
Mikel Oyarzabal
7%
Lionel Messi
6%
Cristiano Ronaldo
6%
Lamine Yamal
6%
Julian Alvarez
4%
Raphinha
4%
Vinicius Junior
4%
Ousmane Dembele
3%
Lautaro Martinez
3%
Michael Olise
3%
Cody Gakpo
2%
Igor Thiago
2%
Ferran Torres
2%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Depay Memphis
2%
Rafael Leao
2%
Viktor Gyökeres
2%
Deniz Undav
1%
Luis Diaz
1%
Mohamed Salah
1%
Jude Bellingham
1%
Bukayo Saka
1%
Dani Olmo
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Marcus Thuram
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Bradley Barcola
1%
Luis Javier Suárez
1%
Scott McTominay
1%
Heung-Min Son
1%
Sadio Mane
1%
Antoine Semenyo
1%
Pedri
1%
Edin Džeko
<1%
Ivan Perišić
<1%
Noah Okafor
<1%
Serge Gnabry
<1%
Andrej Kramarić
<1%
Dion Beljo
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Amad Diallo
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 24, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kylian Mbappé and Harry Kane share the lead at 14.5% implied probability in the 2026 World Cup top goalscorer market, reflecting trader consensus on their strong club form, proven international scoring records, and favorable paths for France and England. Erling Haaland sits at 7% amid Norway’s qualification push and his qualifying output, while Mikel Oyarzabal, Lionel Messi, and Cristiano Ronaldo follow closely behind at 6.5–5.6%, supported by Spain’s depth, Argentina’s experience, and Portugal’s attacking options. The tight clustering stems from multiple high-volume forwards on competitive squads, variable group-stage minutes, and the wide-open nature of a 48-team tournament where upsets and rotation can shift scoring opportunities rapidly.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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