David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary after a dramatic comeback, defeating Francesca Hong by a final certified margin of 0.4 percentage points (39.8% to 39.4%). The outcome followed Crowley’s July withdrawal and re-entry with outgoing Governor Tony Evers’ endorsement, which consolidated establishment support amid multiple candidate dropouts including Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez. Late polls had shown Hong ahead by double digits, yet turnout patterns and late shifts in Milwaukee and suburban areas delivered Crowley’s narrow edge in the closely watched contest. Trader consensus on the 0.4–0.6% bracket reflects the reported results and limited scope for meaningful revision through remaining certification or recount processes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCrowley 0.4–0.6% 100.0%
Hong 1%+ <1%
Hong 0.8–1% <1%
Hong 0.6–0.8% <1%
$221,729 Vol.
$221,729 Vol.
12. Aug. 2026
Hong 1%+
No
Hong 0.8–1%
No
Hong 0.6–0.8%
No
Hong 0.4–0.6%
No
Hong 0.2–0.4%
No
Hong <0.2%
No
Crowley <0.2%
No
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
No
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
Yes
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
No
Crowley 0.8–1%
No
Crowley 1–1.2%
No
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
No
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
No
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
No
Crowley 1.8–2%
No
Crowley 2%+
No
Crowley 0.4–0.6% 100.0%
Hong 1%+ <1%
Hong 0.8–1% <1%
Hong 0.6–0.8% <1%
$221,729 Vol.
$221,729 Vol.
12. Aug. 2026
Hong 1%+
$319 Vol.
No
Hong 0.8–1%
$232 Vol.
No
Hong 0.6–0.8%
$694 Vol.
No
Hong 0.4–0.6%
$716 Vol.
No
Hong 0.2–0.4%
$749 Vol.
No
Hong <0.2%
$1,149 Vol.
No
Crowley <0.2%
$38,742 Vol.
No
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
$42,044 Vol.
No
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
$42,753 Vol.
Yes
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
$31,381 Vol.
No
Crowley 0.8–1%
$27,577 Vol.
No
Crowley 1–1.2%
$30,077 Vol.
No
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
$1,194 Vol.
No
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
$1,140 Vol.
No
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
$1,181 Vol.
No
Crowley 1.8–2%
$1,261 Vol.
No
Crowley 2%+
$521 Vol.
No
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary after a dramatic comeback, defeating Francesca Hong by a final certified margin of 0.4 percentage points (39.8% to 39.4%). The outcome followed Crowley’s July withdrawal and re-entry with outgoing Governor Tony Evers’ endorsement, which consolidated establishment support amid multiple candidate dropouts including Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez. Late polls had shown Hong ahead by double digits, yet turnout patterns and late shifts in Milwaukee and suburban areas delivered Crowley’s narrow edge in the closely watched contest. Trader consensus on the 0.4–0.6% bracket reflects the reported results and limited scope for meaningful revision through remaining certification or recount processes.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volumen
$221,729Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary after a dramatic comeback, defeating Francesca Hong by a final certified margin of 0.4 percentage points (39.8% to 39.4%). The outcome followed Crowley’s July withdrawal and re-entry with outgoing Governor Tony Evers’ endorsement, which consolidated establishment support amid multiple candidate dropouts including Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez. Late polls had shown Hong ahead by double digits, yet turnout patterns and late shifts in Milwaukee and suburban areas delivered Crowley’s narrow edge in the closely watched contest. Trader consensus on the 0.4–0.6% bracket reflects the reported results and limited scope for meaningful revision through remaining certification or recount processes.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$221,729Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary after a dramatic comeback, defeating Francesca Hong by a final certified margin of 0.4 percentage points (39.8% to 39.4%). The outcome followed Crowley’s July withdrawal and re-entry with outgoing Governor Tony Evers’ endorsement, which consolidated establishment support amid multiple candidate dropouts including Mandela Barnes and Sara Rodriguez. Late polls had shown Hong ahead by double digits, yet turnout patterns and late shifts in Milwaukee and suburban areas delivered Crowley’s narrow edge in the closely watched contest. Trader consensus on the 0.4–0.6% bracket reflects the reported results and limited scope for meaningful revision through remaining certification or recount processes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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