Trader consensus on Polymarket implies modest odds for USD/CAD hitting the specified threshold in 2026, primarily driven by narrowing interest rate differentials as the Bank of Canada (BoC) adopts a more aggressive easing path—recently cutting its policy rate to 3.75%—amid softening Canadian inflation and growth, while the Fed holds steady above 4.5% through year-end. Current spot at 1.392 reflects CAD resilience from elevated oil prices near $75/bbl, but forecasts from major banks like RBC project averages around 1.36-1.38 by 2026, assuming US economic outperformance. Key risks include US election outcomes boosting USD strength and upcoming November CPI releases influencing December FOMC/BoC decisions, with resolution hinging on any intraday touch.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert↑1,70
5%
↑1,60
16%
↑1,55
38%
↑1,50
52%
↑1,45
52%
↑1,42
56%
↑1,39
74%
↓1,33
62%
↓1,30
53%
↓1,25
50%
↓1,20
42%
↓1,10
49%
$0.00 Vol.
↑1,70
5%
↑1,60
16%
↑1,55
38%
↑1,50
52%
↑1,45
52%
↑1,42
56%
↑1,39
74%
↓1,33
62%
↓1,30
53%
↓1,25
50%
↓1,20
42%
↓1,10
49%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Markt eröffnet: Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies modest odds for USD/CAD hitting the specified threshold in 2026, primarily driven by narrowing interest rate differentials as the Bank of Canada (BoC) adopts a more aggressive easing path—recently cutting its policy rate to 3.75%—amid softening Canadian inflation and growth, while the Fed holds steady above 4.5% through year-end. Current spot at 1.392 reflects CAD resilience from elevated oil prices near $75/bbl, but forecasts from major banks like RBC project averages around 1.36-1.38 by 2026, assuming US economic outperformance. Key risks include US election outcomes boosting USD strength and upcoming November CPI releases influencing December FOMC/BoC decisions, with resolution hinging on any intraday touch.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen