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icon for UNSC-Resolution zur Billigung des endgültigen US-Iran-Deals bis zum 31. Dezember?

UNSC-Resolution zur Billigung des endgültigen US-Iran-Deals bis zum 31. Dezember?

icon for UNSC-Resolution zur Billigung des endgültigen US-Iran-Deals bis zum 31. Dezember?

UNSC-Resolution zur Billigung des endgültigen US-Iran-Deals bis zum 31. Dezember?

Ja

35% Chance
Polymarket

$124,991 Vol.

Ja

35% Chance
Polymarket

$124,991 Vol.

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent negotiations between the United States and Iran have produced an Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding and technical working groups on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and monitoring, yet these steps remain preliminary. As of early August 2026, talks center on reopening the Strait of Hormuz amid an extended ceasefire, with officials describing outcomes as uncertain and warning of a “last chance” window. UN Security Council discussions continue under resolution 2231, including snapback sanctions reimposed in 2025, but no draft final agreement has advanced to formal endorsement. Persistent gaps over enrichment levels, inspections, and full sanctions lifting, combined with procedural gridlock and recent regional tensions, sustain trader consensus that a comprehensive deal endorsed by the Council is unlikely before the December 31 deadline.

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$124,991
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent negotiations between the United States and Iran have produced an Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding and technical working groups on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and monitoring, yet these steps remain preliminary. As of early August 2026, talks center on reopening the Strait of Hormuz amid an extended ceasefire, with officials describing outcomes as uncertain and warning of a “last chance” window. UN Security Council discussions continue under resolution 2231, including snapback sanctions reimposed in 2025, but no draft final agreement has advanced to formal endorsement. Persistent gaps over enrichment levels, inspections, and full sanctions lifting, combined with procedural gridlock and recent regional tensions, sustain trader consensus that a comprehensive deal endorsed by the Council is unlikely before the December 31 deadline.

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$124,991
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„UNSC-Resolution zur Billigung des endgültigen US-Iran-Deals bis zum 31. Dezember?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „UNSC-Resolution zur Unterstützung des endgültigen US-Iran-Abkommens bis zum 31. Dezember?" mit 35%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 35¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 35% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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