Recent negotiations between the United States and Iran have produced an Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding and technical working groups on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and monitoring, yet these steps remain preliminary. As of early August 2026, talks center on reopening the Strait of Hormuz amid an extended ceasefire, with officials describing outcomes as uncertain and warning of a “last chance” window. UN Security Council discussions continue under resolution 2231, including snapback sanctions reimposed in 2025, but no draft final agreement has advanced to formal endorsement. Persistent gaps over enrichment levels, inspections, and full sanctions lifting, combined with procedural gridlock and recent regional tensions, sustain trader consensus that a comprehensive deal endorsed by the Council is unlikely before the December 31 deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertUNSC-Resolution zur Billigung des endgültigen US-Iran-Deals bis zum 31. Dezember?
Ja
$124,991 Vol.
$124,991 Vol.
Ja
$124,991 Vol.
$124,991 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent negotiations between the United States and Iran have produced an Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding and technical working groups on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and monitoring, yet these steps remain preliminary. As of early August 2026, talks center on reopening the Strait of Hormuz amid an extended ceasefire, with officials describing outcomes as uncertain and warning of a “last chance” window. UN Security Council discussions continue under resolution 2231, including snapback sanctions reimposed in 2025, but no draft final agreement has advanced to formal endorsement. Persistent gaps over enrichment levels, inspections, and full sanctions lifting, combined with procedural gridlock and recent regional tensions, sustain trader consensus that a comprehensive deal endorsed by the Council is unlikely before the December 31 deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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