Name: Wird Satoshi im Jahr 2026 Bitcoins bewegen?
Start: 2026-01-09T18:05:43.92189Z
End: 2027-01-01T05:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto

If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.




Wird Satoshi im Jahr 2026 Bitcoins bewegen?

This market will resolve according to the playoff qualification seed (1-7 for each conference) of the team that wins Super Bowl LX. 

If Super Bowl LX has not been completed by February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". 

If at any point it becomes impossible for a specific playoff qualification seed to win Super Bowl LX based on the rules of the NFL (e.g., all teams with that seed are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.

Wird ein Nr.-2-Seed den Super Bowl LX gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the exact outcome of Super Bowl LX. 

If Super Bowl LX has not been completed by February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". 

If at any point it becomes impossible for this exact outcome to occur in Super Bowl LX based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. one team is eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.

Wird Seattle New England im Super Bowl LX schlagen?

This market will resolve according to the teams that advance to Super Bowl LX. 

If the Super Bowl LX matchup has not been confirmed by February 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". 

An announcement of Super Bowl LX matchup before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this matchup to occur in Super Bowl LX based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. one team is eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.

Wird New England im Super Bowl LX auf Seattle treffen?

This is a polymarket to predict whether a team from the AFC or the NFC will win the NFL 2025-26 Super Bowl.

If the winning team of the 2025-26 Super Bowl is from the AFC, this market will resolve to "AFC".

If the winning team of the 2025-26 Super Bowl is from the NFC, this market will resolve to "NFC".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to 50–50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Super Bowl - Gewinnende Conference

This is a polymarket to predict which division the team that wins the 2025-26 NFL Super Bowl will be from.

If a team from the listed division wins the Super Bowl, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird die Mannschaft, die den Super Bowl 2025-26 gewinnt, in der NFC West spielen?

This is a polymarket to predict which state the team that wins the 2025-26 NFL Super Bowl will be from.

If a team who plays in the listed state wins the Super Bowl, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird das Team, das den Super Bowl 2025-26 gewinnt, aus einem anderen Bundesstaat kommen?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Western Conference during the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Western Conference (e.g., elimination from the playoffs), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or the playoffs have not been completed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Werden die Colorado Avalanche die Western Conference gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Wird Michigan das NCAA-Turnier 2026 gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Eastern Conference during the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Eastern Conference (e.g., elimination from the playoffs), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or the playoffs have not been completed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Werden die Tampa Bay Lightning die Eastern Conference gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Spanien die FIFA-Weltmeisterschaft 2026 gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the listed division during the 2025-26 NHL regular season.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win its division (e.g., mathematical elimination before season end), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Werden die Colorado Avalanche die Central Division gewinnen?

Werden die Vegas Golden Knights die Pacific Division gewinnen?

Werden die Tampa Bay Lightning die Atlantic Division gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the stage of elimination for the New England Patriots in the 2025–26 NFL Playoffs.

The market will immediately resolve once the New England Patriots’ stage of elimination can be confirmed.

If the New England Patriots’ stage of elimination has not been confirmed by February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.

Werden die New England Patriots im Super Bowl ausscheiden?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament.

If it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Women’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No.”

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Wird Oklahoma (Frauen) die SEC-Hauptrunde 2025–2026 gewinnen?

The 2026 Indian Premier League (IPL) T20 cricket competition is scheduled to take place from March 26 to May 31, 2026. 

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Indian Premier League. 

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Indian Premier League based on the rules of the competition (e.g., they do not advance to the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 Indian Premier League season is permanently canceled or there is otherwise no winner declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be the IPL (https://www.iplt20.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Werden die Mumbai Indians die Indian Premier League 2026 gewinnen?

Werden die Carolina Hurricanes die Metropolitan Division gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup based on the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be the ICC (https://www.icc-cricket.com/tournaments/mens-t20-world-cup-2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Indien die ICC Herren-T20-Weltmeisterschaft 2026 gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the stage of elimination for the Seattle Seahawks in the 2025–26 NFL Playoffs.

The market will immediately resolve once the Seattle Seahawks’ stage of elimination can be confirmed.

If the Seattle Seahawks’ stage of elimination has not been confirmed by February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.

Werden die Seattle Seahawks in der Conference Championship Runde ausscheiden?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) 2026 season playoffs.

If the 2026 LCK season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Gen.G Esports die LCK-Playoffs der Saison 2026 gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the stage of elimination for the Denver Broncos in the 2025–26 NFL Playoffs.

The market will immediately resolve once the Denver Broncos’ stage of elimination can be confirmed.

If the Denver Broncos’ stage of elimination has not been confirmed by February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.

Werden die Denver Broncos in der Conference Championship Runde ausscheiden?

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Reuben Bain Jr. der zweite Pick im NFL-Draft 2026 sein?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends 2026 LEC Versus.

If the 2026 LEC Versus is postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird G2 Esports das LEC 2026 Versus gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2026 season.

If the 2026 LPL season is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LPL league organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Bilibili Gaming die LPL-Saison 2026 gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the national team that finishes in second place (loses in the final) in the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish in second place in the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup based on the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the group stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be the ICC (https://www.icc-cricket.com/tournaments/mens-t20-world-cup-2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Australien bei der ICC Men’s T20-Weltmeisterschaft 2026 Zweiter?

This market will resolve according to the stage of elimination for the Los Angeles Rams in the 2025–26 NFL Playoffs.

The market will immediately resolve once the Los Angeles Rams’ stage of elimination can be confirmed.

If the Los Angeles Rams’ stage of elimination has not been confirmed by February 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL.

Werden die Los Angeles Rams in der Conference Championship Runde ausscheiden?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025–26 NHL Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A team will be considered to have made the Playoffs if it qualifies for the postseason bracket under the official rules of the NHL for the 2025–26 season. Qualification through any officially recognized NHL format (including Wild Card berths) will count.

If it becomes impossible for the listed team to qualify for the Playoffs based on the rules of the NHL (e.g. the team is mathematically eliminated), this market will resolve immediately to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Werden die Minnesota Wild die NHL-Playoffs erreichen?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

Werden die Seattle Seahawks den Super Bowl 2026 gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Arvell Reese der dritte Pick im NFL Draft 2026 sein?

The 2026 Australian Open is set to take place from January 12 - February 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Australian Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Aryna Sabalenka die Australian Open der Frauen 2026 gewinnen?

The LPL 2026 Split 1 is currently scheduled to take place from January 14 to March 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the LPL 2026 Split 1 Playoffs.

If the LPL 2026 Split 1 is postponed after April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple teams are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/LPL/2026/Split_1) may also be used.

Wird Bilibili Gaming die LPL 2026 Split 1 Playoffs gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Mexiko die Gruppe A bei der FIFA-Weltmeisterschaft 2026 gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird die Schweiz die Gruppe B bei der FIFA-Weltmeisterschaft 2026 gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Argentinien die Gruppe J bei der FIFA-Weltmeisterschaft 2026 gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Frankreich die Gruppe I bei der FIFA-Weltmeisterschaft 2026 gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the player who wins 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award. 

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.

Wird Christian McCaffrey der NFL Comeback Player of the Year 2025-2026 sein?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Belgien die Gruppe G bei der FIFA-Weltmeisterschaft 2026 gewinnen?

This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Fernando Mendoza der erste Pick im NFL-Draft 2026 sein?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Portugal die Gruppe K bei der FIFA-Weltmeisterschaft 2026 gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird England die Gruppe L bei der FIFA-Weltmeisterschaft 2026 gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird die Niederlande Gruppe F bei der FIFA-Weltmeisterschaft 2026 gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. 

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

Wird Mercedes 2026 Formel-1-Konstrukteursweltmeister sein?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Spanien die Gruppe H bei der FIFA-Weltmeisterschaft 2026 gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes the 2025-2026 NBA Regular Season with the best record in the league.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to finish the regular Season with the best record.

If multiple teams are tied for most wins in the 2025-26 NBA Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the team who receives home court advantage for the 2026 NBA playoffs. A list of the NBA’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://ak-static-int.nba.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2017/06/NBA_Tiebreaker_Procedures.pdf

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Werden die Oklahoma City Thunder die beste Bilanz in der NBA haben?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Brasilien die Gruppe C bei der FIFA-Weltmeisterschaft 2026 gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Wird Satoshi im Jahr 2026 Bitcoins bewegen?

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Wird Satoshi im Jahr 2026 Bitcoins bewegen?

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