Market icon

Wird Pete Hegseth Claude bis zum 31. März sperren?

Market icon

Wird Pete Hegseth Claude bis zum 31. März sperren?

Ja

>99% Chance
Polymarket

$2,323,996 Vol.

Ja

>99% Chance
Polymarket

$2,323,996 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Department of Defense (DoD) ends its business relationship with Anthropic or bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models by DoD personnel or DoD contractors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The DoD ending its business relationship with Anthropic refers to any contract termination, cancellation, non-renewal, or other official action which ends the DoD’s contracting relationship with Anthropic such that DoD personnel will no longer be authorized to use Claude. A qualifying ban must apply broadly to DoD personnel's use of Claude on government-issued devices and/or for DoD-related tasks. Limited bans restricted to the use of Claude for certain purposes or by specific groups of personnel will not count. Limited exceptions to an otherwise qualifying ban, however, will not disqualify a ban from counting, so long as the default policy for DoD personnel is a ban on the use of Claude. Any official DoD or US federal Government order, directive, or policy which broadly bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models amongst DoD contractors or demands that DoD contractors generally sever ties with Anthropic will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An official announcement, from the DoD or another US federal government authority with relevant jurisdiction, of a policy or decision to end the DoD's business relationship with Anthropic or ban the use of Claude by DoD personnel or contractors within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the policy/decision is stated to go into effect. Suggestions, speculation, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from Pete Hegseth, the Department of Defense, and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Department of Defense (DoD) ends its business relationship with Anthropic or bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models by DoD personnel or DoD contractors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The DoD ending its business relationship with Anthropic refers to any contract termination, cancellation, non-renewal, or other official action which ends the DoD’s contracting relationship with Anthropic such that DoD personnel will no longer be authorized to use Claude.

A qualifying ban must apply broadly to DoD personnel's use of Claude on government-issued devices and/or for DoD-related tasks. Limited bans restricted to the use of Claude for certain purposes or by specific groups of personnel will not count. Limited exceptions to an otherwise qualifying ban, however, will not disqualify a ban from counting, so long as the default policy for DoD personnel is a ban on the use of Claude.

Any official DoD or US federal Government order, directive, or policy which broadly bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models amongst DoD contractors or demands that DoD contractors generally sever ties with Anthropic will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

An official announcement, from the DoD or another US federal government authority with relevant jurisdiction, of a policy or decision to end the DoD's business relationship with Anthropic or ban the use of Claude by DoD personnel or contractors within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the policy/decision is stated to go into effect. Suggestions, speculation, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Pete Hegseth, the Department of Defense, and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,323,996
Enddatum
31. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 16, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Department of Defense (DoD) ends its business relationship with Anthropic or bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models by DoD personnel or DoD contractors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The DoD ending its business relationship with Anthropic refers to any contract termination, cancellation, non-renewal, or other official action which ends the DoD’s contracting relationship with Anthropic such that DoD personnel will no longer be authorized to use Claude. A qualifying ban must apply broadly to DoD personnel's use of Claude on government-issued devices and/or for DoD-related tasks. Limited bans restricted to the use of Claude for certain purposes or by specific groups of personnel will not count. Limited exceptions to an otherwise qualifying ban, however, will not disqualify a ban from counting, so long as the default policy for DoD personnel is a ban on the use of Claude. Any official DoD or US federal Government order, directive, or policy which broadly bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models amongst DoD contractors or demands that DoD contractors generally sever ties with Anthropic will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An official announcement, from the DoD or another US federal government authority with relevant jurisdiction, of a policy or decision to end the DoD's business relationship with Anthropic or ban the use of Claude by DoD personnel or contractors within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the policy/decision is stated to go into effect. Suggestions, speculation, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from Pete Hegseth, the Department of Defense, and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Department of Defense (DoD) ends its business relationship with Anthropic or bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models by DoD personnel or DoD contractors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The DoD ending its business relationship with Anthropic refers to any contract termination, cancellation, non-renewal, or other official action which ends the DoD’s contracting relationship with Anthropic such that DoD personnel will no longer be authorized to use Claude. A qualifying ban must apply broadly to DoD personnel's use of Claude on government-issued devices and/or for DoD-related tasks. Limited bans restricted to the use of Claude for certain purposes or by specific groups of personnel will not count. Limited exceptions to an otherwise qualifying ban, however, will not disqualify a ban from counting, so long as the default policy for DoD personnel is a ban on the use of Claude. Any official DoD or US federal Government order, directive, or policy which broadly bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models amongst DoD contractors or demands that DoD contractors generally sever ties with Anthropic will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An official announcement, from the DoD or another US federal government authority with relevant jurisdiction, of a policy or decision to end the DoD's business relationship with Anthropic or ban the use of Claude by DoD personnel or contractors within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the policy/decision is stated to go into effect. Suggestions, speculation, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from Pete Hegseth, the Department of Defense, and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Department of Defense (DoD) ends its business relationship with Anthropic or bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models by DoD personnel or DoD contractors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The DoD ending its business relationship with Anthropic refers to any contract termination, cancellation, non-renewal, or other official action which ends the DoD’s contracting relationship with Anthropic such that DoD personnel will no longer be authorized to use Claude.

A qualifying ban must apply broadly to DoD personnel's use of Claude on government-issued devices and/or for DoD-related tasks. Limited bans restricted to the use of Claude for certain purposes or by specific groups of personnel will not count. Limited exceptions to an otherwise qualifying ban, however, will not disqualify a ban from counting, so long as the default policy for DoD personnel is a ban on the use of Claude.

Any official DoD or US federal Government order, directive, or policy which broadly bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models amongst DoD contractors or demands that DoD contractors generally sever ties with Anthropic will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

An official announcement, from the DoD or another US federal government authority with relevant jurisdiction, of a policy or decision to end the DoD's business relationship with Anthropic or ban the use of Claude by DoD personnel or contractors within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the policy/decision is stated to go into effect. Suggestions, speculation, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Pete Hegseth, the Department of Defense, and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,323,996
Enddatum
31. März 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 16, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US Department of Defense (DoD) ends its business relationship with Anthropic or bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models by DoD personnel or DoD contractors by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The DoD ending its business relationship with Anthropic refers to any contract termination, cancellation, non-renewal, or other official action which ends the DoD’s contracting relationship with Anthropic such that DoD personnel will no longer be authorized to use Claude. A qualifying ban must apply broadly to DoD personnel's use of Claude on government-issued devices and/or for DoD-related tasks. Limited bans restricted to the use of Claude for certain purposes or by specific groups of personnel will not count. Limited exceptions to an otherwise qualifying ban, however, will not disqualify a ban from counting, so long as the default policy for DoD personnel is a ban on the use of Claude. Any official DoD or US federal Government order, directive, or policy which broadly bans the use of Anthropic Claude AI models amongst DoD contractors or demands that DoD contractors generally sever ties with Anthropic will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An official announcement, from the DoD or another US federal government authority with relevant jurisdiction, of a policy or decision to end the DoD's business relationship with Anthropic or ban the use of Claude by DoD personnel or contractors within this market’s timeframe will qualify, regardless of when the policy/decision is stated to go into effect. Suggestions, speculation, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from Pete Hegseth, the Department of Defense, and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wird Pete Hegseth Claude bis zum 31. März sperren?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Wird Pete Hegseth Claude bis zum 31. März verbieten?" mit 100%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wird Pete Hegseth Claude bis zum 31. März sperren?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $2.3 million generiert, seit der Markt am Feb 16, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wird Pete Hegseth Claude bis zum 31. März sperren?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wird Pete Hegseth Claude bis zum 31. März sperren?" ist „Wird Pete Hegseth Claude bis zum 31. März verbieten?" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wird Pete Hegseth Claude bis zum 31. März sperren?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.