Iranian officials have escalated warnings against the United Arab Emirates in recent weeks, citing the late-September visit by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to Abu Dhabi and renewed Emirati claims on disputed Gulf islands. Iranian Foreign Ministry statements and security figures described these moves as provocative, warning of “highly dangerous consequences” and directing Abu Dhabi to cease “warmongering.” Top security official Mohsen Rezaei indicated on October 13 that UAE targets could face strikes if the United States resumes military action, while earlier 2026 Iranian missile and drone barrages on Emirati territory remain a reference point for current risk assessments. No confirmed direct attacks on UAE soil have occurred since August, though tanker incidents in the Strait of Hormuz continue and diplomatic channels have narrowed. These statements and the fragile regional ceasefire form the primary drivers shaping trader views on near-term targeting probabilities.