Iran and Iran-aligned Iraqi militias have conducted repeated ballistic missile and drone strikes into northern Iraq’s Kurdistan Region since February 2026, primarily targeting U.S. facilities, diplomatic sites, and Iranian Kurdish opposition groups in Erbil and surrounding areas. These operations form part of the broader 2026 Iran conflict involving U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets, with spillover attacks on Iraqi infrastructure and civilian areas reported through September. Recent developments include Iranian drone strikes near Soran on September 24 and continued exchanges tied to Strait of Hormuz tensions, alongside U.S. coalition withdrawal from Iraq at the end of September. Diplomatic contacts between Tehran and Baghdad have focused on border security and flight restrictions linked to U.S. sanctions, while militia disarmament timelines remain fluid. Trader assessments of further Iranian targeting hinge on escalation signals in the ongoing regional conflict and any new U.S. or Israeli responses.
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