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Will courts block Trump's tariffs by Friday?

Market icon

Will courts block Trump's tariffs by Friday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$25,511 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$25,511 Vol.

On February 1, Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico and a 10% tariff on imports from China (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US court blocks the implementation or any portion of these tariffs by February 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of any portion of these tariffs will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$25,511
Enddatum
Feb 7, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Feb 2, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
On February 1, Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico and a 10% tariff on imports from China (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US court blocks the implementation or any portion of these tariffs by February 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of any portion of these tariffs will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

On February 1, Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico and a 10% tariff on imports from China (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US court blocks the implementation or any portion of these tariffs by February 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of any portion of these tariffs will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$25,511
Enddatum
Feb 7, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Feb 2, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
On February 1, Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico and a 10% tariff on imports from China (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US court blocks the implementation or any portion of these tariffs by February 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any official court action that temporarily halts or permanently blocks implementation of any portion of these tariffs will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will courts block Trump's tariffs by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will courts block Trump's tariffs by Friday?" has generated $25.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will courts block Trump's tariffs by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will courts block Trump's tariffs by Friday?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will courts block Trump's tariffs by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.