No new sovereign state completed formal accession to the Abraham Accords by the July 31, 2026, deadline, producing trader consensus around a 100% probability of âNo.â Diplomatic outreach intensified under the second Trump administration, including public calls in May 2026 for Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others to normalize, yet core obstaclesâlinkage to Palestinian statehood for Riyadh, ongoing regional instability in Syria and Lebanon, and Sudanese civil war delaysâprevented additional signings after Kazakhstanâs November 2025 entry. Somalilandâs earlier pledge remains outside standard recognition parameters. Late-stage developments such as a surprise bilateral agreement or clarification on an existing partial arrangement could still shift resolution if they meet the marketâs exact criteria before final settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der AuflÜsung dieses Marktes. ¡ AktualisiertJa
<1% Chance
$50,486 Vol.
$50,486 Vol.
31. Juli 2026
Ja
<1% Chance
$50,486 Vol.
$50,486 Vol.
31. Juli 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creationâincluding the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudanâwill not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.No new sovereign state completed formal accession to the Abraham Accords by the July 31, 2026, deadline, producing trader consensus around a 100% probability of âNo.â Diplomatic outreach intensified under the second Trump administration, including public calls in May 2026 for Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others to normalize, yet core obstaclesâlinkage to Palestinian statehood for Riyadh, ongoing regional instability in Syria and Lebanon, and Sudanese civil war delaysâprevented additional signings after Kazakhstanâs November 2025 entry. Somalilandâs earlier pledge remains outside standard recognition parameters. Late-stage developments such as a surprise bilateral agreement or clarification on an existing partial arrangement could still shift resolution if they meet the marketâs exact criteria before final settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creationâincluding the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudanâwill not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creationâincluding the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudanâwill not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Markt erĂśffnet: Jun 29, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Volumen
$50,486Enddatum
31. Juli 2026Markt erĂśffnet
Jun 29, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
EndgĂźltiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creationâincluding the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudanâwill not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.No new sovereign state completed formal accession to the Abraham Accords by the July 31, 2026, deadline, producing trader consensus around a 100% probability of âNo.â Diplomatic outreach intensified under the second Trump administration, including public calls in May 2026 for Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others to normalize, yet core obstaclesâlinkage to Palestinian statehood for Riyadh, ongoing regional instability in Syria and Lebanon, and Sudanese civil war delaysâprevented additional signings after Kazakhstanâs November 2025 entry. Somalilandâs earlier pledge remains outside standard recognition parameters. Late-stage developments such as a surprise bilateral agreement or clarification on an existing partial arrangement could still shift resolution if they meet the marketâs exact criteria before final settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creationâincluding the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudanâwill not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creationâincluding the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudanâwill not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$50,486Enddatum
31. Juli 2026Markt erĂśffnet
Jun 29, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
EndgĂźltiges Ergebnis: Nein
No new sovereign state completed formal accession to the Abraham Accords by the July 31, 2026, deadline, producing trader consensus around a 100% probability of âNo.â Diplomatic outreach intensified under the second Trump administration, including public calls in May 2026 for Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others to normalize, yet core obstaclesâlinkage to Palestinian statehood for Riyadh, ongoing regional instability in Syria and Lebanon, and Sudanese civil war delaysâprevented additional signings after Kazakhstanâs November 2025 entry. Somalilandâs earlier pledge remains outside standard recognition parameters. Late-stage developments such as a surprise bilateral agreement or clarification on an existing partial arrangement could still shift resolution if they meet the marketâs exact criteria before final settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der AuflÜsung dieses Marktes. ¡ Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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