Current National Hurricane Center outlooks show no tropical disturbances or cyclones forming in the Atlantic basin through at least the next seven days, with sea surface temperatures and atmospheric shear patterns still below thresholds typically required for early-season cyclogenesis. This aligns with historical climatology, where Atlantic hurricanes before June 1 remain rare, occurring in fewer than 5 percent of seasons since reliable records began. Trader consensus at 96.2 percent reflects the short window remaining until May 31 and the absence of any monitored systems or model signals for rapid development. Daily NHC Tropical Weather Outlooks through the end of the month will provide the next updates on potential formation, though significant shifts would require unexpected warming or reduced wind shear in the coming days.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird sich bis zum 31. Mai ein Hurrikan bilden?
Ja
$51,090 Vol.
$51,090 Vol.
Ja
$51,090 Vol.
$51,090 Vol.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Current National Hurricane Center outlooks show no tropical disturbances or cyclones forming in the Atlantic basin through at least the next seven days, with sea surface temperatures and atmospheric shear patterns still below thresholds typically required for early-season cyclogenesis. This aligns with historical climatology, where Atlantic hurricanes before June 1 remain rare, occurring in fewer than 5 percent of seasons since reliable records began. Trader consensus at 96.2 percent reflects the short window remaining until May 31 and the absence of any monitored systems or model signals for rapid development. Daily NHC Tropical Weather Outlooks through the end of the month will provide the next updates on potential formation, though significant shifts would require unexpected warming or reduced wind shear in the coming days.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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