Lindsey Graham’s sudden death on July 11, 2026, after winning the June Republican primary, has created an open contest for South Carolina’s Senate seat. Governor Henry McMaster will appoint an interim holder until January 2027, while state law triggers a special primary on August 11 to select the GOP nominee for the November general election. With no dominant frontrunner and a broad list of potential candidates including sitting members of Congress and state officials, trader probabilities remain clustered near even odds. The outcome hinges on filing deadlines, McMaster’s appointment decision, and rapid consolidation of party support ahead of the compressed primary timeline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDarline Graham Nordone 100.0%
Nancy Mace <1%
Joe Wilson <1%
Mark Lynch <1%
$63,450 Vol.
$63,450 Vol.

Nancy Mace
Nein

Joe Wilson
Nein

Mark Lynch
Nein

Paul Dans
Nein

Ralph Norman
Nein

William Timmons
Nein

Russell Fry
Nein

Sheri Biggs
Nein

Pamela Evette
Nein

David Wilkins
Nein

Mick Mulvaney
Nein

Bob Peeler
Nein

Niemand vor der Halbzeitwahl
Nein

André Bauer
Nein

Alan Wilson
Nein

Scott Bessent
Nein

Trey Gowdy
Nein

Darline Graham Nordone
Ja
Darline Graham Nordone 100.0%
Nancy Mace <1%
Joe Wilson <1%
Mark Lynch <1%
$63,450 Vol.
$63,450 Vol.

Nancy Mace
Nein

Joe Wilson
Nein

Mark Lynch
Nein

Paul Dans
Nein

Ralph Norman
Nein

William Timmons
Nein

Russell Fry
Nein

Sheri Biggs
Nein

Pamela Evette
Nein

David Wilkins
Nein

Mick Mulvaney
Nein

Bob Peeler
Nein

Niemand vor der Halbzeitwahl
Nein

André Bauer
Nein

Alan Wilson
Nein

Scott Bessent
Nein

Trey Gowdy
Nein

Darline Graham Nordone
Ja
This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina.
Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.
If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 12, 2026, 11:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve according to the next person officially appointed by the Governor of South Carolina, or otherwise formally selected according to the jurisdiction's vacancy rules, to fill Lindsey Graham’s seat as United States Senator from South Carolina.
Interim, Acting, or other temporary Senators appointed or elected to the role will count.
If no replacement senator has been appointed or elected by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None Before Midterm Election.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of South Carolina and the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Lindsey Graham’s sudden death on July 11, 2026, after winning the June Republican primary, has created an open contest for South Carolina’s Senate seat. Governor Henry McMaster will appoint an interim holder until January 2027, while state law triggers a special primary on August 11 to select the GOP nominee for the November general election. With no dominant frontrunner and a broad list of potential candidates including sitting members of Congress and state officials, trader probabilities remain clustered near even odds. The outcome hinges on filing deadlines, McMaster’s appointment decision, and rapid consolidation of party support ahead of the compressed primary timeline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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