**Trader sentiment on the "Who will be arrested before 2027?" market reflects the narrow window remaining until December 31, 2026, combined with the status of multiple ongoing investigations.** Leading outcomes center on former intelligence officials such as John Brennan and James Comey, alongside figures facing scrutiny over prior official actions or protest-related enforcement, including Mahmoud Khalil. Recent developments include Senate proceedings involving Anthony Fauci and continued DOJ or congressional reviews of past matters, though no qualifying arrests of listed individuals have occurred in the immediate term. Short timelines limit the feasibility of new indictments advancing to physical custody, while structural factors such as Senate confirmation patterns, prosecutorial priorities, and legal protections shape probabilities. Traders price in these constraints, with most individual contracts implying low single-digit to mid-40s percent chances absent rapid escalations in active cases.