FIFA has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup, including a direct statement from President Gianni Infantino at the recent congress, which has anchored trader consensus around no replacement at 95.5%. Iran’s football federation has coordinated base camp adjustments to Tijuana, Mexico, with FIFA approval to address U.S. visa and security concerns, while rejecting any withdrawal. Italian officials and legends dismissed suggestions of an Azzurri substitution as inappropriate or humiliating, and no confederation pathway supports alternatives such as the UAE. Geopolitical tensions and flag disputes persist but have not triggered formal expulsion or forfeiture under FIFA statutes. The dominant pricing reflects the absence of any confirmed exit by Iran or league-mandated replacement process, though an unforeseen withdrawal tied to unresolved diplomatic issues remains the primary scenario that could reopen the field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNo Replacement 95.2%
Other 1.7%
UAE 1.1%
Italy 1.0%
$59,406 Vol.
$59,406 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
No Replacement
95%
Other
2%
UAE
1%
Italy
1%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 95.2%
Other 1.7%
UAE 1.1%
Italy 1.0%
$59,406 Vol.
$59,406 Vol.
31. Aug. 2026
No Replacement
$18,228 Vol.
95%
Other
$4,982 Vol.
2%
UAE
$5,257 Vol.
1%
Italy
$28,168 Vol.
1%
Bolivia
$2,771 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup, including a direct statement from President Gianni Infantino at the recent congress, which has anchored trader consensus around no replacement at 95.5%. Iran’s football federation has coordinated base camp adjustments to Tijuana, Mexico, with FIFA approval to address U.S. visa and security concerns, while rejecting any withdrawal. Italian officials and legends dismissed suggestions of an Azzurri substitution as inappropriate or humiliating, and no confederation pathway supports alternatives such as the UAE. Geopolitical tensions and flag disputes persist but have not triggered formal expulsion or forfeiture under FIFA statutes. The dominant pricing reflects the absence of any confirmed exit by Iran or league-mandated replacement process, though an unforeseen withdrawal tied to unresolved diplomatic issues remains the primary scenario that could reopen the field.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Volumen
$59,406Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup, including a direct statement from President Gianni Infantino at the recent congress, which has anchored trader consensus around no replacement at 95.5%. Iran’s football federation has coordinated base camp adjustments to Tijuana, Mexico, with FIFA approval to address U.S. visa and security concerns, while rejecting any withdrawal. Italian officials and legends dismissed suggestions of an Azzurri substitution as inappropriate or humiliating, and no confederation pathway supports alternatives such as the UAE. Geopolitical tensions and flag disputes persist but have not triggered formal expulsion or forfeiture under FIFA statutes. The dominant pricing reflects the absence of any confirmed exit by Iran or league-mandated replacement process, though an unforeseen withdrawal tied to unresolved diplomatic issues remains the primary scenario that could reopen the field.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$59,406Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA has repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup, including a direct statement from President Gianni Infantino at the recent congress, which has anchored trader consensus around no replacement at 95.5%. Iran’s football federation has coordinated base camp adjustments to Tijuana, Mexico, with FIFA approval to address U.S. visa and security concerns, while rejecting any withdrawal. Italian officials and legends dismissed suggestions of an Azzurri substitution as inappropriate or humiliating, and no confederation pathway supports alternatives such as the UAE. Geopolitical tensions and flag disputes persist but have not triggered formal expulsion or forfeiture under FIFA statutes. The dominant pricing reflects the absence of any confirmed exit by Iran or league-mandated replacement process, though an unforeseen withdrawal tied to unresolved diplomatic issues remains the primary scenario that could reopen the field.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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