Anthropic’s late-May release of Claude Opus 4.8, following strong SWE-bench Verified scores from Opus 4.7, has solidified trader consensus around its leadership in coding large language models. Developers highlight the model’s superior instruction-following, agentic workflows, and performance on real GitHub issue resolution compared with OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini releases. Widespread adoption through Claude Code tooling and consistent benchmark edges in autonomous software engineering tasks reinforce this positioning. A late surge by a competitor model on the specific end-of-May evaluation criteria or an unexpected shift in third-party coding leaderboards could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAnthropic 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
Baidu <1%
$120,519 Vol.
$120,519 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
Anthropic
Yes
OpenAI
No
xAI
No
Baidu
No
Amazon
No
Mistral
No
Meituan
No
Microsoft
No
No
Alibaba
No
ByteDance
No
Moonshot
No
Z.ai
No
DeepSeek
No
Meta
No
Anthropic 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
Baidu <1%
$120,519 Vol.
$120,519 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
Anthropic
$25,306 Vol.
Yes
OpenAI
$16,471 Vol.
No
xAI
$8,248 Vol.
No
Baidu
$4,386 Vol.
No
Amazon
$1,058 Vol.
No
Mistral
$986 Vol.
No
Meituan
$1,139 Vol.
No
Microsoft
$1,110 Vol.
No
$13,354 Vol.
No
Alibaba
$4,491 Vol.
No
ByteDance
$4,216 Vol.
No
Moonshot
$9,954 Vol.
No
Z.ai
$15,867 Vol.
No
DeepSeek
$9,579 Vol.
No
Meta
$4,354 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s late-May release of Claude Opus 4.8, following strong SWE-bench Verified scores from Opus 4.7, has solidified trader consensus around its leadership in coding large language models. Developers highlight the model’s superior instruction-following, agentic workflows, and performance on real GitHub issue resolution compared with OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini releases. Widespread adoption through Claude Code tooling and consistent benchmark edges in autonomous software engineering tasks reinforce this positioning. A late surge by a competitor model on the specific end-of-May evaluation criteria or an unexpected shift in third-party coding leaderboards could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volumen
$120,519Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s late-May release of Claude Opus 4.8, following strong SWE-bench Verified scores from Opus 4.7, has solidified trader consensus around its leadership in coding large language models. Developers highlight the model’s superior instruction-following, agentic workflows, and performance on real GitHub issue resolution compared with OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini releases. Widespread adoption through Claude Code tooling and consistent benchmark edges in autonomous software engineering tasks reinforce this positioning. A late surge by a competitor model on the specific end-of-May evaluation criteria or an unexpected shift in third-party coding leaderboards could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$120,519Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
Anthropic’s late-May release of Claude Opus 4.8, following strong SWE-bench Verified scores from Opus 4.7, has solidified trader consensus around its leadership in coding large language models. Developers highlight the model’s superior instruction-following, agentic workflows, and performance on real GitHub issue resolution compared with OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini releases. Widespread adoption through Claude Code tooling and consistent benchmark edges in autonomous software engineering tasks reinforce this positioning. A late surge by a competitor model on the specific end-of-May evaluation criteria or an unexpected shift in third-party coding leaderboards could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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