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icon for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Technik·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

icon for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Technik·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Jan. 1, 2027

Jan. 1, 2027

$31,041 Vol.

31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$31,041 Vol.

Polymarket

San Diego, CA

$4,021 Vol.

90%

Tampa, FL

$2,729 Vol.

84%

Denver, CO

$2,341 Vol.

67%

St. Louis, MO

$41 Vol.

47%

Las Vegas, NV

$2,901 Vol.

50%

Charlotte, NC

$438 Vol.

28%

Sacramento, CA

$1,443 Vol.

27%

Detroit, MI

$696 Vol.

13%

Washington, DC

$1,365 Vol.

13%

Tokyo, Japan

$327 Vol.

12%

Minneapolis, MN

$2,121 Vol.

11%

Pittsburgh, PA

$795 Vol.

11%

New Orleans, LA

$622 Vol.

19%

Chicago, IL

$772 Vol.

24%

Baltimore, MD

$1,086 Vol.

9%

Portland, OR

$2,426 Vol.

9%

London, UK

$748 Vol.

7%

New York, NY

$1,538 Vol.

7%

Boston, MA

$3,896 Vol.

6%

Seattle, WA

$570 Vol.

5%

Philadelphia, PA

$164 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo's rapid U.S. expansion continues to shape trader views on additional city launches by year-end, following the September 1 public rollout of paid robotaxi service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa. These additions brought commercial operations to 14 cities using the sixth-generation Waymo Driver and the new Ojai minivan built on Zeekr platforms. The fleet now exceeds 4,000 vehicles, with weekly paid rides surpassing 500,000 as the company targets 1 million by December 31. Recent California Public Utilities Commission approval for operations across 18 counties enables further scaling in the Bay Area, Los Angeles, and new markets like Sacramento, while Nevada permits support Las Vegas growth. Direct competition from Tesla's driverless rides in overlapping cities such as Tampa adds pressure, though Waymo maintains a lead in deployed autonomous miles and regulatory clearances. Gradual ramp-ups and ongoing mapping in additional areas remain key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$31,041
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo's rapid U.S. expansion continues to shape trader views on additional city launches by year-end, following the September 1 public rollout of paid robotaxi service in Denver, San Diego, and Tampa. These additions brought commercial operations to 14 cities using the sixth-generation Waymo Driver and the new Ojai minivan built on Zeekr platforms. The fleet now exceeds 4,000 vehicles, with weekly paid rides surpassing 500,000 as the company targets 1 million by December 31. Recent California Public Utilities Commission approval for operations across 18 counties enables further scaling in the Bay Area, Los Angeles, and new markets like Sacramento, while Nevada permits support Las Vegas growth. Direct competition from Tesla's driverless rides in overlapping cities such as Tampa adds pressure, though Waymo maintains a lead in deployed autonomous miles and regulatory clearances. Gradual ramp-ups and ongoing mapping in additional areas remain key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$31,041
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

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Wird Waymo am 31. Dezember 2026 in weniger als 12 Städten tätig sein?

70%
Ja
icon for Wird Tesla bis zum 31. Dezember Robotaxis in Kalifornien einführen?

Wird Tesla bis zum 31. Dezember Robotaxis in Kalifornien einführen?

19%
Ja
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Wird Tesla Bestellungen für den Robovan vor 2027 annehmen?

10%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 21 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „San Diego, CA" mit 90%, gefolgt von „Tampa, FL" mit 84%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 90¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 90% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $31K generiert, seit der Markt am Jun 26, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" ist „San Diego, CA" mit 90%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 90% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Tampa, FL" mit 84%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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