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icon for Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?
Technik·AI

Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?

icon for Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?
Technik·AI

Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 1. November 24%

12. Oktober–18. Oktober 23%

26. Oktober–1. November 13.2%

28. September–4. Oktober 12.7%

Polymarket

$46,703 Vol.

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 1. November 24%

12. Oktober–18. Oktober 23%

26. Oktober–1. November 13.2%

28. September–4. Oktober 12.7%

Polymarket

$46,703 Vol.

14. September–20. September

$412 Vol.

4%

21. September–27. September

$549 Vol.

7%

28. September–4. Oktober

$619 Vol.

13%

5.–11. Oktober

$413 Vol.

11%

12. Oktober–18. Oktober

$2,507 Vol.

23%

19. Oktober–25. Oktober

$438 Vol.

10%

26. Oktober–1. November

$558 Vol.

13%

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 1. November

$38,210 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s next Gemini Pro update remains stalled amid rapid Flash iterations, including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash and its Cyber variant optimized for coding and agentic tasks. Traders see the closely matched odds for a mid-October window versus no release by November 1 as reflecting ongoing internal testing to close performance gaps with OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models on long-horizon reasoning and software engineering benchmarks. Sundar Pichai’s comments on an ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training run have shifted focus toward a more substantial upgrade rather than incremental 3.5 Pro tweaks, while repeated delays since the May I/O teaser underscore Google’s caution on shipping before benchmarks and partner feedback align. Upcoming earnings commentary or developer events could clarify timelines.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$46,703
Enddatum
1. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s next Gemini Pro update remains stalled amid rapid Flash iterations, including the September 2 release of Gemini 3.8 Flash and its Cyber variant optimized for coding and agentic tasks. Traders see the closely matched odds for a mid-October window versus no release by November 1 as reflecting ongoing internal testing to close performance gaps with OpenAI and Anthropic frontier models on long-horizon reasoning and software engineering benchmarks. Sundar Pichai’s comments on an ambitious Gemini 4 pre-training run have shifted focus toward a more substantial upgrade rather than incremental 3.5 Pro tweaks, while repeated delays since the May I/O teaser underscore Google’s caution on shipping before benchmarks and partner feedback align. Upcoming earnings commentary or developer events could clarify timelines.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$46,703
Enddatum
1. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird es bis zum 30. September 2026 kein nächstes Google Gemini Pro Modell geben?

Wird es bis zum 30. September 2026 kein nächstes Google Gemini Pro Modell geben?

83%
Ja
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

78%
icon for Nächstes Google Gemini Flash-Lite-Modell (3.6+) bis spätestens 30. November 2026 veröffentlicht?

Nächstes Google Gemini Flash-Lite-Modell (3.6+) bis spätestens 30. November 2026 veröffentlicht?

80%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 1. November" mit 24%, gefolgt von „12. Oktober–18. Oktober" mit 23%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 24¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 24% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $46.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?" ist „Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 1. November" mit 24%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 24% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „12. Oktober–18. Oktober" mit 23%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.