Elevated mortgage rates near 6.3-6.4% and cooling demand have anchored Polymarket odds around the closely contested $1.089M-$1.125M and $1.125M-$1.161M bins, which together command over 67% implied probability. Recent Miami-Dade data through September 2026 show a buyer's market with 100+ average days on market, elevated inventory, widespread price reductions, and softer sales volumes, reflecting reduced net migration, higher insurance costs, and regulatory pressures on condos. These factors have tempered appreciation despite resilient luxury segments and cash buyers, creating a narrow window for modest stabilization or slight softening before month-end resolution. Traders are pricing in the latest ZHVI trajectory and seasonal patterns rather than any sharp rebound.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert1.125 Mio. $ - 1.161 Mio. $ 47.0%
1,089 Mio. $ - 1,125 Mio. $ 36%
1,053 Mio. $ - 1,089 Mio. $ 12%
1.161 Mio. $ - 1.196 Mio. $ 5.4%
$74,767 Vol.
$74,767 Vol.
<1,017 Mio. $
1%
1.017.000 $ - 1.053.000 $
4%
1,053 Mio. $ - 1,089 Mio. $
12%
1,089 Mio. $ - 1,125 Mio. $
36%
1.125 Mio. $ - 1.161 Mio. $
47%
1.161 Mio. $ - 1.196 Mio. $
5%
1,196 Mio.$+
4%
1.125 Mio. $ - 1.161 Mio. $ 47.0%
1,089 Mio. $ - 1,125 Mio. $ 36%
1,053 Mio. $ - 1,089 Mio. $ 12%
1.161 Mio. $ - 1.196 Mio. $ 5.4%
$74,767 Vol.
$74,767 Vol.
<1,017 Mio. $
1%
1.017.000 $ - 1.053.000 $
4%
1,053 Mio. $ - 1,089 Mio. $
12%
1,089 Mio. $ - 1,125 Mio. $
36%
1.125 Mio. $ - 1.161 Mio. $
47%
1.161 Mio. $ - 1.196 Mio. $
5%
1,196 Mio.$+
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Markt eröffnet: Jul 1, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Elevated mortgage rates near 6.3-6.4% and cooling demand have anchored Polymarket odds around the closely contested $1.089M-$1.125M and $1.125M-$1.161M bins, which together command over 67% implied probability. Recent Miami-Dade data through September 2026 show a buyer's market with 100+ average days on market, elevated inventory, widespread price reductions, and softer sales volumes, reflecting reduced net migration, higher insurance costs, and regulatory pressures on condos. These factors have tempered appreciation despite resilient luxury segments and cash buyers, creating a narrow window for modest stabilization or slight softening before month-end resolution. Traders are pricing in the latest ZHVI trajectory and seasonal patterns rather than any sharp rebound.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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