Recent hotter-than-expected February CPI and PPI data, showing core inflation at 3.2% year-over-year, have anchored trader consensus toward Powell signaling no March rate cut during his March 20 FOMC press conference, with markets implying over 95% odds of steady 5.25-5.50% fed funds rate. Strong jobs report and resilient consumer spending reinforce views of a restrictive policy stance persisting amid sticky disinflation progress. The updated dot plot may project fewer 2024 cuts than December's median three, emphasizing data dependence. Traders watch for hints on quantitative tightening taper or balance sheet runoff, with sentiment reflecting wisdom of crowds on delayed easing amid robust growth.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$49,405 Vol.
Inflation 40+ Mal
Ja
Inflation 50+ Mal
Ja
Inflation 60+ Mal
Nein
Mehr als 20 Mal „Prozent“
Ja
Lebensmittel / Energie 3+ Mal
Ja
Dollar mehr als zweimal
Ja
KI / Künstliche Intelligenz 3+ Mal
Ja
Fed / Federal Reserve 7+ Mal
Nein
Nichts 3+ Mal
Nein
Kommentar
Nein
Pandemie
Ja
Sorry / Pardon
Ja
Krypto / Bitcoin
Nein
Gold / Öl
Ja
Collect / Collected
Nein
Shutdown / Shut Down
Nein
Delayed / Delay
Nein
Nachfolger
Ja
Erschwinglichkeit
Nein
Oberster Gerichtshof
Nein
Nicht unsere Aufgabe
Nein
Politik
Nein
Spekulieren / Spekulation
Ja
Simulation
Nein
Verzerrung
Nein
Bilanz
Nein
Signal
Nein
Guten Nachmittag
Ja
Rückerstattung
Nein
China
Nein
Volatil
Ja
Rezession
Ja
Krieg
Ja
Wohnen
Ja
Iran
Nein
$49,405 Vol.
Inflation 40+ Mal
Ja
Inflation 50+ Mal
Ja
Inflation 60+ Mal
Nein
Mehr als 20 Mal „Prozent“
Ja
Lebensmittel / Energie 3+ Mal
Ja
Dollar mehr als zweimal
Ja
KI / Künstliche Intelligenz 3+ Mal
Ja
Fed / Federal Reserve 7+ Mal
Nein
Nichts 3+ Mal
Nein
Kommentar
Nein
Pandemie
Ja
Sorry / Pardon
Ja
Krypto / Bitcoin
Nein
Gold / Öl
Ja
Collect / Collected
Nein
Shutdown / Shut Down
Nein
Delayed / Delay
Nein
Nachfolger
Ja
Erschwinglichkeit
Nein
Oberster Gerichtshof
Nein
Nicht unsere Aufgabe
Nein
Politik
Nein
Spekulieren / Spekulation
Ja
Simulation
Nein
Verzerrung
Nein
Bilanz
Nein
Signal
Nein
Guten Nachmittag
Ja
Rückerstattung
Nein
China
Nein
Volatil
Ja
Rezession
Ja
Krieg
Ja
Wohnen
Ja
Iran
Nein
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 3, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected February CPI and PPI data, showing core inflation at 3.2% year-over-year, have anchored trader consensus toward Powell signaling no March rate cut during his March 20 FOMC press conference, with markets implying over 95% odds of steady 5.25-5.50% fed funds rate. Strong jobs report and resilient consumer spending reinforce views of a restrictive policy stance persisting amid sticky disinflation progress. The updated dot plot may project fewer 2024 cuts than December's median three, emphasizing data dependence. Traders watch for hints on quantitative tightening taper or balance sheet runoff, with sentiment reflecting wisdom of crowds on delayed easing amid robust growth.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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