Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91.5% for Vermont's at-large House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic lean—uninterrupted since Republicans last won in 1988—and incumbent Rep. Becca Balint's commanding path to a third term after her 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points. No major developments have shifted sentiment in recent weeks, with primaries scheduled for August 11, 2026, and the general election on November 3; early cycle dynamics and historical base rates underpin the lopsided pricing. Realistic challenges could arise from a high-profile Republican recruit, Balint facing a credible primary opponent, or a national Republican midterm wave, though Vermont's partisan structure poses significant barriers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertVT-AL Wahlsieger
VT-AL Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Demokratische Partei
92%
Republikanische Partei
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Demokratische Partei
$0 Vol.
92%
Republikanische Partei
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91.5% for Vermont's at-large House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic lean—uninterrupted since Republicans last won in 1988—and incumbent Rep. Becca Balint's commanding path to a third term after her 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points. No major developments have shifted sentiment in recent weeks, with primaries scheduled for August 11, 2026, and the general election on November 3; early cycle dynamics and historical base rates underpin the lopsided pricing. Realistic challenges could arise from a high-profile Republican recruit, Balint facing a credible primary opponent, or a national Republican midterm wave, though Vermont's partisan structure poses significant barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91.5% for Vermont's at-large House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic lean—uninterrupted since Republicans last won in 1988—and incumbent Rep. Becca Balint's commanding path to a third term after her 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points. No major developments have shifted sentiment in recent weeks, with primaries scheduled for August 11, 2026, and the general election on November 3; early cycle dynamics and historical base rates underpin the lopsided pricing. Realistic challenges could arise from a high-profile Republican recruit, Balint facing a credible primary opponent, or a national Republican midterm wave, though Vermont's partisan structure poses significant barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VT-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 91.5% for Vermont's at-large House seat, reflecting the district's entrenched Democratic lean—uninterrupted since Republicans last won in 1988—and incumbent Rep. Becca Balint's commanding path to a third term after her 2024 victory margin exceeding 30 points. No major developments have shifted sentiment in recent weeks, with primaries scheduled for August 11, 2026, and the general election on November 3; early cycle dynamics and historical base rates underpin the lopsided pricing. Realistic challenges could arise from a high-profile Republican recruit, Balint facing a credible primary opponent, or a national Republican midterm wave, though Vermont's partisan structure poses significant barriers.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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