Sienna Spiro holds the edge in the VMA Best New Artist market at 50% implied probability, driven by her strong critical reception, debut album *Visitor* charting at No. 9 on the Billboard 200, and status as a Grammy frontrunner with over a billion streams. CORTIS follows closely at 38% thanks to its dedicated fanbase, multi-nomination profile including Best K-Pop and Best Group, and consistent Spotify global chart presence. The remaining nominees—Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, Stella Lefty, Magnus Ferrell, and Bella Kay—trail significantly, reflecting limited crossover momentum or fan-voting scale. With fan voting continuing through the September 27 ceremony and Spiro confirmed to perform, late surges in social engagement or streaming spikes could narrow the gap in this fan-driven category.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVMA Best New Artist 2026
VMA Best New Artist 2026
Sienna Spiro 50%
Cortis 38%
Myles Smith 25.6%
Malcolm Todd 5%
NEU
NEU
27. Sep. 2026
Sienna Spiro
50%
Cortis
38%
Myles Smith
26%
Malcolm Todd
5%
Stella Lefty
5%
Magnus Ferrell
4%
Bella Kay
4%
Sienna Spiro 50%
Cortis 38%
Myles Smith 25.6%
Malcolm Todd 5%
NEU
NEU
27. Sep. 2026
Sienna Spiro
$20 Vol.
50%
Cortis
$20 Vol.
38%
Myles Smith
$6 Vol.
26%
Malcolm Todd
$1 Vol.
5%
Stella Lefty
$0 Vol.
5%
Magnus Ferrell
$40 Vol.
4%
Bella Kay
$21 Vol.
4%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sienna Spiro holds the edge in the VMA Best New Artist market at 50% implied probability, driven by her strong critical reception, debut album *Visitor* charting at No. 9 on the Billboard 200, and status as a Grammy frontrunner with over a billion streams. CORTIS follows closely at 38% thanks to its dedicated fanbase, multi-nomination profile including Best K-Pop and Best Group, and consistent Spotify global chart presence. The remaining nominees—Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, Stella Lefty, Magnus Ferrell, and Bella Kay—trail significantly, reflecting limited crossover momentum or fan-voting scale. With fan voting continuing through the September 27 ceremony and Spiro confirmed to perform, late surges in social engagement or streaming spikes could narrow the gap in this fan-driven category.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Volumen
$108Enddatum
28. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sienna Spiro holds the edge in the VMA Best New Artist market at 50% implied probability, driven by her strong critical reception, debut album *Visitor* charting at No. 9 on the Billboard 200, and status as a Grammy frontrunner with over a billion streams. CORTIS follows closely at 38% thanks to its dedicated fanbase, multi-nomination profile including Best K-Pop and Best Group, and consistent Spotify global chart presence. The remaining nominees—Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, Stella Lefty, Magnus Ferrell, and Bella Kay—trail significantly, reflecting limited crossover momentum or fan-voting scale. With fan voting continuing through the September 27 ceremony and Spiro confirmed to perform, late surges in social engagement or streaming spikes could narrow the gap in this fan-driven category.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$108Enddatum
28. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Sienna Spiro holds the edge in the VMA Best New Artist market at 50% implied probability, driven by her strong critical reception, debut album *Visitor* charting at No. 9 on the Billboard 200, and status as a Grammy frontrunner with over a billion streams. CORTIS follows closely at 38% thanks to its dedicated fanbase, multi-nomination profile including Best K-Pop and Best Group, and consistent Spotify global chart presence. The remaining nominees—Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, Stella Lefty, Magnus Ferrell, and Bella Kay—trail significantly, reflecting limited crossover momentum or fan-voting scale. With fan voting continuing through the September 27 ceremony and Spiro confirmed to perform, late surges in social engagement or streaming spikes could narrow the gap in this fan-driven category.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
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